Who’s afraid of Sahra – Understanding the shift in votes towards Germany’s Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht

The emergence of the left-authoritarian Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (BSW) has profoundly disrupted the German party system. Within a remarkably short time frame, the BSW has achieved significant electoral success, prompting a lively debate concerning the political origins of its voter base. A central...

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Main Authors: Leon Heckmann, L Constantin Wurthmann, Sarah Wagner
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SAGE Publishing 2025-01-01
Series:Research & Politics
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1177/20531680241311504
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author Leon Heckmann
L Constantin Wurthmann
Sarah Wagner
author_facet Leon Heckmann
L Constantin Wurthmann
Sarah Wagner
author_sort Leon Heckmann
collection DOAJ
description The emergence of the left-authoritarian Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (BSW) has profoundly disrupted the German party system. Within a remarkably short time frame, the BSW has achieved significant electoral success, prompting a lively debate concerning the political origins of its voter base. A central question remains: to what extent can the BSW attract supporters from other parties such as the Alternative for Germany (AfD) or Social Democrats (SPD)? This study employs recent data from the German Longitudinal Election Study (GLES) panel to investigate voter flow dynamics and the issues motivating shifts towards the BSW. Our findings reveal that while the BSW struggles to attract core AfD supporters, the party has been notably more effective in appealing to recent AfD supporters. Overall, opposition to Ukraine support is the single most important issue that drives voters towards BSW.
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institution Kabale University
issn 2053-1680
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series Research & Politics
spelling doaj-art-21fb59fc51a04334906e412bc9a2a99f2025-01-23T22:03:21ZengSAGE PublishingResearch & Politics2053-16802025-01-011210.1177/20531680241311504Who’s afraid of Sahra – Understanding the shift in votes towards Germany’s Bündnis Sahra WagenknechtLeon HeckmannL Constantin WurthmannSarah WagnerThe emergence of the left-authoritarian Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (BSW) has profoundly disrupted the German party system. Within a remarkably short time frame, the BSW has achieved significant electoral success, prompting a lively debate concerning the political origins of its voter base. A central question remains: to what extent can the BSW attract supporters from other parties such as the Alternative for Germany (AfD) or Social Democrats (SPD)? This study employs recent data from the German Longitudinal Election Study (GLES) panel to investigate voter flow dynamics and the issues motivating shifts towards the BSW. Our findings reveal that while the BSW struggles to attract core AfD supporters, the party has been notably more effective in appealing to recent AfD supporters. Overall, opposition to Ukraine support is the single most important issue that drives voters towards BSW.https://doi.org/10.1177/20531680241311504
spellingShingle Leon Heckmann
L Constantin Wurthmann
Sarah Wagner
Who’s afraid of Sahra – Understanding the shift in votes towards Germany’s Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht
Research & Politics
title Who’s afraid of Sahra – Understanding the shift in votes towards Germany’s Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht
title_full Who’s afraid of Sahra – Understanding the shift in votes towards Germany’s Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht
title_fullStr Who’s afraid of Sahra – Understanding the shift in votes towards Germany’s Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht
title_full_unstemmed Who’s afraid of Sahra – Understanding the shift in votes towards Germany’s Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht
title_short Who’s afraid of Sahra – Understanding the shift in votes towards Germany’s Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht
title_sort who s afraid of sahra understanding the shift in votes towards germany s bundnis sahra wagenknecht
url https://doi.org/10.1177/20531680241311504
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AT sarahwagner whosafraidofsahraunderstandingtheshiftinvotestowardsgermanysbundnissahrawagenknecht