POSSIBILITIES OF SELF-ORGANIZATION METHODS IN PREDICTING EMERGENCY SITUATIONS IN MINING

The article is directed at developing and substantiating one of the approaches to forecasting the individual residual resource of a particular mining equipment in operation in a coal mine clean-up area. The main causes, affecting the accuracy of forecasts, have been identified. The perspectivity of...

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Main Authors: I. S. Bondarenko, V. V. Kupriyanov
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Publishing House of the State University of Management 2019-12-01
Series:Вестник университета
Subjects:
Online Access:https://vestnik.guu.ru/jour/article/view/1844
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author I. S. Bondarenko
V. V. Kupriyanov
author_facet I. S. Bondarenko
V. V. Kupriyanov
author_sort I. S. Bondarenko
collection DOAJ
description The article is directed at developing and substantiating one of the approaches to forecasting the individual residual resource of a particular mining equipment in operation in a coal mine clean-up area. The main causes, affecting the accuracy of forecasts, have been identified. The perspectivity of using complex forecasts on several analogs with the help of spline functions for variables, characterizing the technological situations with GGOs, has been shown. The procedure of short-term forecasting of the multidimensional process of changing the average annual values of variables describing technological situations with the conveyor and lava supports in the breakage face has been adduced. Successfully predictable and non-predictable variables have been revealed. Conducted complex forecasts for different criteria of self-organization have allowed us to set the optimal number of analogs and to rank the f
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institution Kabale University
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publisher Publishing House of the State University of Management
record_format Article
series Вестник университета
spelling doaj-art-1aac980952dc45cea87b81fc5ec01a9b2025-02-04T08:28:01ZengPublishing House of the State University of ManagementВестник университета1816-42772686-84152019-12-01011627010.26425/1816-4277-2019-11-62-701544POSSIBILITIES OF SELF-ORGANIZATION METHODS IN PREDICTING EMERGENCY SITUATIONS IN MININGI. S. Bondarenko0V. V. Kupriyanov1National University of Science and Technology “MISiS”National University of Science and Technology “MISiS”The article is directed at developing and substantiating one of the approaches to forecasting the individual residual resource of a particular mining equipment in operation in a coal mine clean-up area. The main causes, affecting the accuracy of forecasts, have been identified. The perspectivity of using complex forecasts on several analogs with the help of spline functions for variables, characterizing the technological situations with GGOs, has been shown. The procedure of short-term forecasting of the multidimensional process of changing the average annual values of variables describing technological situations with the conveyor and lava supports in the breakage face has been adduced. Successfully predictable and non-predictable variables have been revealed. Conducted complex forecasts for different criteria of self-organization have allowed us to set the optimal number of analogs and to rank the fhttps://vestnik.guu.ru/jour/article/view/1844forecastanalogspline functionsbalance of discretizationsresourcetechnological situationmethod of aggregation
spellingShingle I. S. Bondarenko
V. V. Kupriyanov
POSSIBILITIES OF SELF-ORGANIZATION METHODS IN PREDICTING EMERGENCY SITUATIONS IN MINING
Вестник университета
forecast
analog
spline functions
balance of discretizations
resource
technological situation
method of aggregation
title POSSIBILITIES OF SELF-ORGANIZATION METHODS IN PREDICTING EMERGENCY SITUATIONS IN MINING
title_full POSSIBILITIES OF SELF-ORGANIZATION METHODS IN PREDICTING EMERGENCY SITUATIONS IN MINING
title_fullStr POSSIBILITIES OF SELF-ORGANIZATION METHODS IN PREDICTING EMERGENCY SITUATIONS IN MINING
title_full_unstemmed POSSIBILITIES OF SELF-ORGANIZATION METHODS IN PREDICTING EMERGENCY SITUATIONS IN MINING
title_short POSSIBILITIES OF SELF-ORGANIZATION METHODS IN PREDICTING EMERGENCY SITUATIONS IN MINING
title_sort possibilities of self organization methods in predicting emergency situations in mining
topic forecast
analog
spline functions
balance of discretizations
resource
technological situation
method of aggregation
url https://vestnik.guu.ru/jour/article/view/1844
work_keys_str_mv AT isbondarenko possibilitiesofselforganizationmethodsinpredictingemergencysituationsinmining
AT vvkupriyanov possibilitiesofselforganizationmethodsinpredictingemergencysituationsinmining