Foundations for an Operational Earthquake Prediction System
Earthquake prediction is one of the most challenging enterprises of science. Any prediction system must be based on the search for a precursor appearing during the preparation phase of an earthquake in the ground, atmosphere, or ionosphere that can anticipate its occurrence. We present methods to de...
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| Main Authors: | , , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
MDPI AG
2025-02-01
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| Series: | Geosciences |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3263/15/2/69 |
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| Summary: | Earthquake prediction is one of the most challenging enterprises of science. Any prediction system must be based on the search for a precursor appearing during the preparation phase of an earthquake in the ground, atmosphere, or ionosphere that can anticipate its occurrence. We present methods to detect potential pre-earthquake anomalies. In particular, we show the analysis of lithospheric, atmospheric, and ionospheric data and the detection of anomalies under specific criteria. When we apply these methods retrospectively, we find that their accuracy goes from 69% to 83%. The combination of two or more methods is expected to improve the accuracy. |
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| ISSN: | 2076-3263 |