Decent Estimate of CME Arrival Time From a Data‐Assimilated Ensemble in the Alfvén Wave Solar Atmosphere Model (DECADE‐AWSoM)

Decent Estimate of CME Arrival Time From a Data‐Assimilated Ensemble in the Alfvén Wave Solar Atmosphere Model (DECADE‐AWSoM)

Abstract Forecasting the arrival time of Earth‐directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) via physics‐based simulations is an essential but challenging task in space weather research due to the complexity of the underlying physics and limited remote and in situ observations of these events. Data assimil...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Hongfan Chen, Nishtha Sachdeva, Zhenguang Huang, Bart van derHolst, Ward Manchester IV, Aniket Jivani, Shasha Zou, Yang Chen, Xun Huan, Gabor Toth
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2025-01-01
Series:Space Weather
Subjects:
space weather
data assimilation
uncertainty quantification
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1029/2024SW004165
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https://doi.org/10.1029/2024SW004165

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