Land system changes of terrestrial tipping elements on Earth under global climate pledges: 2000–2100

Abstract Tipping elements on Earth are components that undergo rapid and irreversible changes when climate change reaches a tipping point. They are highly sensitive to climate variations and serve as early warning signs of global change. Human activities, including global climate pledges, significan...

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Main Authors: Jiaying Lv, Yifan Gao, Changqing Song, Li Chen, Sijing Ye, Peichao Gao
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-01-01
Series:Scientific Data
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-025-04444-8
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author Jiaying Lv
Yifan Gao
Changqing Song
Li Chen
Sijing Ye
Peichao Gao
author_facet Jiaying Lv
Yifan Gao
Changqing Song
Li Chen
Sijing Ye
Peichao Gao
author_sort Jiaying Lv
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Tipping elements on Earth are components that undergo rapid and irreversible changes when climate change reaches a tipping point. They are highly sensitive to climate variations and serve as early warning signs of global change. Human activities, including global climate pledges, significantly influence the climate and the state of tipping elements. Land changes serve as the external and intuitive response of tipping elements to climate change, making it essential to identify shifts in the land system. We produced a 1-km land system dataset for terrestrial tipping elements on Earth for the years 2000, 2010, 2020, and 2100 under global climate pledges by integrating the GCAM with a modified version of CLUMondo. Our dataset includes 30 thematic categories, combining three density types and ten land cover types. The dataset illustrates potential land system changes under global climate pledges, contrasting with common SSP and RCP scenarios. Our simulations demonstrate high accuracy, offering valuable insights into tipping elements and the assessment of the impacts of global climate pledges on Earth.
format Article
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institution Kabale University
issn 2052-4463
language English
publishDate 2025-01-01
publisher Nature Portfolio
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series Scientific Data
spelling doaj-art-104ecffea2774e4c95d9a8827bbb67ec2025-02-02T12:08:00ZengNature PortfolioScientific Data2052-44632025-01-0112111410.1038/s41597-025-04444-8Land system changes of terrestrial tipping elements on Earth under global climate pledges: 2000–2100Jiaying Lv0Yifan Gao1Changqing Song2Li Chen3Sijing Ye4Peichao Gao5State Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes and Resource Ecology, Beijing Normal UniversityState Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes and Resource Ecology, Beijing Normal UniversityState Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes and Resource Ecology, Beijing Normal UniversityState Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes and Resource Ecology, Beijing Normal UniversityState Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes and Resource Ecology, Beijing Normal UniversityState Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes and Resource Ecology, Beijing Normal UniversityAbstract Tipping elements on Earth are components that undergo rapid and irreversible changes when climate change reaches a tipping point. They are highly sensitive to climate variations and serve as early warning signs of global change. Human activities, including global climate pledges, significantly influence the climate and the state of tipping elements. Land changes serve as the external and intuitive response of tipping elements to climate change, making it essential to identify shifts in the land system. We produced a 1-km land system dataset for terrestrial tipping elements on Earth for the years 2000, 2010, 2020, and 2100 under global climate pledges by integrating the GCAM with a modified version of CLUMondo. Our dataset includes 30 thematic categories, combining three density types and ten land cover types. The dataset illustrates potential land system changes under global climate pledges, contrasting with common SSP and RCP scenarios. Our simulations demonstrate high accuracy, offering valuable insights into tipping elements and the assessment of the impacts of global climate pledges on Earth.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-025-04444-8
spellingShingle Jiaying Lv
Yifan Gao
Changqing Song
Li Chen
Sijing Ye
Peichao Gao
Land system changes of terrestrial tipping elements on Earth under global climate pledges: 2000–2100
Scientific Data
title Land system changes of terrestrial tipping elements on Earth under global climate pledges: 2000–2100
title_full Land system changes of terrestrial tipping elements on Earth under global climate pledges: 2000–2100
title_fullStr Land system changes of terrestrial tipping elements on Earth under global climate pledges: 2000–2100
title_full_unstemmed Land system changes of terrestrial tipping elements on Earth under global climate pledges: 2000–2100
title_short Land system changes of terrestrial tipping elements on Earth under global climate pledges: 2000–2100
title_sort land system changes of terrestrial tipping elements on earth under global climate pledges 2000 2100
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-025-04444-8
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AT changqingsong landsystemchangesofterrestrialtippingelementsonearthunderglobalclimatepledges20002100
AT lichen landsystemchangesofterrestrialtippingelementsonearthunderglobalclimatepledges20002100
AT sijingye landsystemchangesofterrestrialtippingelementsonearthunderglobalclimatepledges20002100
AT peichaogao landsystemchangesofterrestrialtippingelementsonearthunderglobalclimatepledges20002100