Application of Chaos Theory in Trucks' Overloading Enforcement

Trucks' overloading is considered as one of the most substantial concerns in road transport due to a possible road surface damage, as well as, are less reliable performance of trucks' braking system. Sufficient human resource and adequate time scheduling are to be planned for surveying tru...

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Main Authors: Abbas Mahmoudabadi, Arezoo Abolghasem
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2013-01-01
Series:Journal of Engineering
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/245293
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author Abbas Mahmoudabadi
Arezoo Abolghasem
author_facet Abbas Mahmoudabadi
Arezoo Abolghasem
author_sort Abbas Mahmoudabadi
collection DOAJ
description Trucks' overloading is considered as one of the most substantial concerns in road transport due to a possible road surface damage, as well as, are less reliable performance of trucks' braking system. Sufficient human resource and adequate time scheduling are to be planned for surveying trucks' overloading; hence, it seems required to prepare an all-around model to be able to predict the number of overloaded vehicles. In the present research work, the concept of chaos theory has been utilized to predict the ratio of trucks which might be guessed overloaded. The largest Lyapunov exponent is utilized to determine the presence of chaos using experimental data and concluded that the ratio of overloaded trucks reflects chaotic behavior. The prediction based on chaos theory is compared with the results of simple smoothing and moving average methods according to the well-known criterion of mean square errors. The results have also revealed that the chaotic prediction model would act more capably comparing the analogous methods including simple smoothing and moving average to predict the ratio of passing trucks to be possibly overloaded.
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institution Kabale University
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spelling doaj-art-10440133c58241a08cb6eaef080532e62025-02-03T01:32:11ZengWileyJournal of Engineering2314-49042314-49122013-01-01201310.1155/2013/245293245293Application of Chaos Theory in Trucks' Overloading EnforcementAbbas Mahmoudabadi0Arezoo Abolghasem1Department of Industrial Engineering, Payame Noor University (PNU), Shahnaz Alley, Nourian Street, North Dibagi Avenue, Tehran, IranRoad Maintenance and Transportation Organization, Number 12 Dameshq Street, Vali-e-Asr Avenue, Tehran, IranTrucks' overloading is considered as one of the most substantial concerns in road transport due to a possible road surface damage, as well as, are less reliable performance of trucks' braking system. Sufficient human resource and adequate time scheduling are to be planned for surveying trucks' overloading; hence, it seems required to prepare an all-around model to be able to predict the number of overloaded vehicles. In the present research work, the concept of chaos theory has been utilized to predict the ratio of trucks which might be guessed overloaded. The largest Lyapunov exponent is utilized to determine the presence of chaos using experimental data and concluded that the ratio of overloaded trucks reflects chaotic behavior. The prediction based on chaos theory is compared with the results of simple smoothing and moving average methods according to the well-known criterion of mean square errors. The results have also revealed that the chaotic prediction model would act more capably comparing the analogous methods including simple smoothing and moving average to predict the ratio of passing trucks to be possibly overloaded.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/245293
spellingShingle Abbas Mahmoudabadi
Arezoo Abolghasem
Application of Chaos Theory in Trucks' Overloading Enforcement
Journal of Engineering
title Application of Chaos Theory in Trucks' Overloading Enforcement
title_full Application of Chaos Theory in Trucks' Overloading Enforcement
title_fullStr Application of Chaos Theory in Trucks' Overloading Enforcement
title_full_unstemmed Application of Chaos Theory in Trucks' Overloading Enforcement
title_short Application of Chaos Theory in Trucks' Overloading Enforcement
title_sort application of chaos theory in trucks overloading enforcement
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/245293
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AT arezooabolghasem applicationofchaostheoryintrucksoverloadingenforcement