Long‐Term Demographic Trends of Near Threatened Coastal Dolphins Living in an Urban Estuary

ABSTRACT Understanding population demography of threatened species and how they vary in relation to natural and anthropogenic stressors is essential for effective conservation. We used a long‐term photographic capture‐recapture dataset (1993–2020) of Indo‐Pacific bottlenose dolphins (Tursiops aduncu...

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Main Authors: Kennadie Haigh, Guido J. Parra, Luciana Möller, Aude Steiner, Mike Bossley
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2025-01-01
Series:Ecology and Evolution
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.70834
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author Kennadie Haigh
Guido J. Parra
Luciana Möller
Aude Steiner
Mike Bossley
author_facet Kennadie Haigh
Guido J. Parra
Luciana Möller
Aude Steiner
Mike Bossley
author_sort Kennadie Haigh
collection DOAJ
description ABSTRACT Understanding population demography of threatened species and how they vary in relation to natural and anthropogenic stressors is essential for effective conservation. We used a long‐term photographic capture‐recapture dataset (1993–2020) of Indo‐Pacific bottlenose dolphins (Tursiops aduncus) in the highly urbanised Adelaide Dolphin Sanctuary (ADS), South Australia, to estimate key demographic parameters and their variability over time. These parameters were analysed in relation to environmental variables used as indicators of local and large‐scale climatic events. Our findings indicate that apparent survival was high (0.98–0.99) and did not vary seasonally. Estimates of abundance were not directly related to environmental variables but were linked to seasonal temporary emigration. Abundance peaked in summer with an average of 85.37 dolphins (SD = 30.23) and was lowest in winter, with 68.57 (SD = 24.70) individuals. Site fidelity at the population level was low, but lagged identification rates revealed a population of approximately 28 individuals at any one time. Trend analysis suggests an increase in dolphin abundance from 1993 and persistence of the population over decades despite significant urbanisation, although numbers have declined in more recent years. Further research is needed to understand the cumulative impacts leading to this population decline and to assess its future viability under different management scenarios. Conservation strategies aimed at increasing reproductive rates and promoting connectivity to adjacent waters are likely to be more effective in reversing population declines.
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spelling doaj-art-0aef8365efbd4906a8f8aa4de47e44c92025-01-29T05:08:41ZengWileyEcology and Evolution2045-77582025-01-01151n/an/a10.1002/ece3.70834Long‐Term Demographic Trends of Near Threatened Coastal Dolphins Living in an Urban EstuaryKennadie Haigh0Guido J. Parra1Luciana Möller2Aude Steiner3Mike Bossley4Cetacean Ecology, Behaviour and Evolution Lab, College of Science and Engineering Flinders University Adelaide South Australia AustraliaCetacean Ecology, Behaviour and Evolution Lab, College of Science and Engineering Flinders University Adelaide South Australia AustraliaCetacean Ecology, Behaviour and Evolution Lab, College of Science and Engineering Flinders University Adelaide South Australia AustraliaBressaucourt SwitzerlandWhale and Dolphin Conservation Adelaide South Australia AustraliaABSTRACT Understanding population demography of threatened species and how they vary in relation to natural and anthropogenic stressors is essential for effective conservation. We used a long‐term photographic capture‐recapture dataset (1993–2020) of Indo‐Pacific bottlenose dolphins (Tursiops aduncus) in the highly urbanised Adelaide Dolphin Sanctuary (ADS), South Australia, to estimate key demographic parameters and their variability over time. These parameters were analysed in relation to environmental variables used as indicators of local and large‐scale climatic events. Our findings indicate that apparent survival was high (0.98–0.99) and did not vary seasonally. Estimates of abundance were not directly related to environmental variables but were linked to seasonal temporary emigration. Abundance peaked in summer with an average of 85.37 dolphins (SD = 30.23) and was lowest in winter, with 68.57 (SD = 24.70) individuals. Site fidelity at the population level was low, but lagged identification rates revealed a population of approximately 28 individuals at any one time. Trend analysis suggests an increase in dolphin abundance from 1993 and persistence of the population over decades despite significant urbanisation, although numbers have declined in more recent years. Further research is needed to understand the cumulative impacts leading to this population decline and to assess its future viability under different management scenarios. Conservation strategies aimed at increasing reproductive rates and promoting connectivity to adjacent waters are likely to be more effective in reversing population declines.https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.70834coastal dolphinsmark‐recapturepopulation demographyresidencesite fidelityTursiops aduncus
spellingShingle Kennadie Haigh
Guido J. Parra
Luciana Möller
Aude Steiner
Mike Bossley
Long‐Term Demographic Trends of Near Threatened Coastal Dolphins Living in an Urban Estuary
Ecology and Evolution
coastal dolphins
mark‐recapture
population demography
residence
site fidelity
Tursiops aduncus
title Long‐Term Demographic Trends of Near Threatened Coastal Dolphins Living in an Urban Estuary
title_full Long‐Term Demographic Trends of Near Threatened Coastal Dolphins Living in an Urban Estuary
title_fullStr Long‐Term Demographic Trends of Near Threatened Coastal Dolphins Living in an Urban Estuary
title_full_unstemmed Long‐Term Demographic Trends of Near Threatened Coastal Dolphins Living in an Urban Estuary
title_short Long‐Term Demographic Trends of Near Threatened Coastal Dolphins Living in an Urban Estuary
title_sort long term demographic trends of near threatened coastal dolphins living in an urban estuary
topic coastal dolphins
mark‐recapture
population demography
residence
site fidelity
Tursiops aduncus
url https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.70834
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AT lucianamoller longtermdemographictrendsofnearthreatenedcoastaldolphinslivinginanurbanestuary
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