Generating the Flood Susceptibility Map for Istanbul with GIS-Based Machine Learning Algorithms

The main objective of the current study is to generate a flood hazard map by using the machine learning algorithms hybridized with the geographic information systems (GIS). In this regard, the province of Istanbul, which is the metropolitan city of Turkey, was selected as the focal region within the...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Zehra Koyuncu, Ömer Ekmekcioğlu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Artvin Coruh University 2024-01-01
Series:Doğal Afetler ve Çevre Dergisi
Subjects:
Online Access:http://dacd.artvin.edu.tr/tr/download/article-file/2967276
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1832544524112494592
author Zehra Koyuncu
Ömer Ekmekcioğlu
author_facet Zehra Koyuncu
Ömer Ekmekcioğlu
author_sort Zehra Koyuncu
collection DOAJ
description The main objective of the current study is to generate a flood hazard map by using the machine learning algorithms hybridized with the geographic information systems (GIS). In this regard, the province of Istanbul, which is the metropolitan city of Turkey, was selected as the focal region within the scope of the study. The class imbalance was tackled through the commonly used random under sampling (RUS) technique in order to create a fair comparison datum line. It is worth mentioning that this is the first time this approach has been used for flood hazard mapping studies in Turkey. Random forest (RF), stochastic gradient boosting (SGB), and XGBoost algorithms were used. The best predictive performance was obtained with the XGBoost algorithm, followed by SGB and RF, respectively. The RF and SGB models showed a 90.67% success rate in determining the inundation points, while the XGBoost model outperformed its counterparts with a 92.00% success rate in determining the inundation points. In this research, the importance levels of the flood triggering variables were further investigated in order to enliven the comprehensibility of the obtained results. Thus, the most important variable was the precipitation, followed by the distance to the drainage network and the number of curves, respectively. Finally, it is suggested that flood vulnerability mapping attempts can be considered as promising approaches against increasing flood incidents over the years.
format Article
id doaj-art-09087feb2f42450cbf2f696c0c73afab
institution Kabale University
issn 2528-9640
language English
publishDate 2024-01-01
publisher Artvin Coruh University
record_format Article
series Doğal Afetler ve Çevre Dergisi
spelling doaj-art-09087feb2f42450cbf2f696c0c73afab2025-02-03T10:10:04ZengArtvin Coruh UniversityDoğal Afetler ve Çevre Dergisi2528-96402024-01-0110111510.21324/dacd.1254778Generating the Flood Susceptibility Map for Istanbul with GIS-Based Machine Learning AlgorithmsZehra Koyuncu0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2087-8991Ömer Ekmekcioğlu1https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7144-2338İnşaat Mühendisliği Bölümü, Mühendislik ve Doğa Bilimleri Fakültesi, İstanbul Medipol Üniversitesi, İstanbul.Afet ve Acil Durum Yönetimi Ana Bilim Dalı, Afet Yönetim Enstitüsü, İstanbul Teknik Üniversitesi, İstanbul.The main objective of the current study is to generate a flood hazard map by using the machine learning algorithms hybridized with the geographic information systems (GIS). In this regard, the province of Istanbul, which is the metropolitan city of Turkey, was selected as the focal region within the scope of the study. The class imbalance was tackled through the commonly used random under sampling (RUS) technique in order to create a fair comparison datum line. It is worth mentioning that this is the first time this approach has been used for flood hazard mapping studies in Turkey. Random forest (RF), stochastic gradient boosting (SGB), and XGBoost algorithms were used. The best predictive performance was obtained with the XGBoost algorithm, followed by SGB and RF, respectively. The RF and SGB models showed a 90.67% success rate in determining the inundation points, while the XGBoost model outperformed its counterparts with a 92.00% success rate in determining the inundation points. In this research, the importance levels of the flood triggering variables were further investigated in order to enliven the comprehensibility of the obtained results. Thus, the most important variable was the precipitation, followed by the distance to the drainage network and the number of curves, respectively. Finally, it is suggested that flood vulnerability mapping attempts can be considered as promising approaches against increasing flood incidents over the years.http://dacd.artvin.edu.tr/tr/download/article-file/2967276geographical information systemsistanbulmachine learningrisk managementflood hazard mappingremote sensing
spellingShingle Zehra Koyuncu
Ömer Ekmekcioğlu
Generating the Flood Susceptibility Map for Istanbul with GIS-Based Machine Learning Algorithms
Doğal Afetler ve Çevre Dergisi
geographical information systems
istanbul
machine learning
risk management
flood hazard mapping
remote sensing
title Generating the Flood Susceptibility Map for Istanbul with GIS-Based Machine Learning Algorithms
title_full Generating the Flood Susceptibility Map for Istanbul with GIS-Based Machine Learning Algorithms
title_fullStr Generating the Flood Susceptibility Map for Istanbul with GIS-Based Machine Learning Algorithms
title_full_unstemmed Generating the Flood Susceptibility Map for Istanbul with GIS-Based Machine Learning Algorithms
title_short Generating the Flood Susceptibility Map for Istanbul with GIS-Based Machine Learning Algorithms
title_sort generating the flood susceptibility map for istanbul with gis based machine learning algorithms
topic geographical information systems
istanbul
machine learning
risk management
flood hazard mapping
remote sensing
url http://dacd.artvin.edu.tr/tr/download/article-file/2967276
work_keys_str_mv AT zehrakoyuncu generatingthefloodsusceptibilitymapforistanbulwithgisbasedmachinelearningalgorithms
AT omerekmekcioglu generatingthefloodsusceptibilitymapforistanbulwithgisbasedmachinelearningalgorithms