Freeway Traffic Speed Prediction under the Intelligent Driving Environment: A Deep Learning Approach

The intelligent transportation system (ITS) has been proven capable of effectively addressing traffic congestion issues. For vehicles to perform effectively and improve mobility under the intelligent driving environment, real-time prediction of traffic speed is undoubtedly essential. Considering the...

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Main Authors: Chengying Hua, Wei (David) Fan
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2022-01-01
Series:Journal of Advanced Transportation
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/6888115
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author Chengying Hua
Wei (David) Fan
author_facet Chengying Hua
Wei (David) Fan
author_sort Chengying Hua
collection DOAJ
description The intelligent transportation system (ITS) has been proven capable of effectively addressing traffic congestion issues. For vehicles to perform effectively and improve mobility under the intelligent driving environment, real-time prediction of traffic speed is undoubtedly essential. Considering the complex spatiotemporal dependency inherent in traffic data, conventional prediction models encounter many limitations. To improve the prediction performance and investigate the temporal features, this study focuses on emerging deep neural networks (DNNs) using the Caltrans Performance Measurement System (PeMS) data. This research also establishes an intelligent driving environment in the simulation and compares the traditional car-following model with deep learning methods in terms of multiple performance metrics. The results indicate that both supervised learning and unsupervised learning are superior to the simulation-based model on the freeway, and the two deep learning networks are almost identical to one another. Besides, the result reveals that all models have their latent features for different time dimensions under the low traffic loads, transition states, and heavy traffic loads. This is critical in the application of prediction technologies in ITS. The findings can assist transportation researchers and traffic engineers in both traffic operation and management, such as bottleneck identification, platooning control, and route planning.
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spelling doaj-art-0587f3d0d9374125a60e7e89ceba59eb2025-02-03T01:24:36ZengWileyJournal of Advanced Transportation2042-31952022-01-01202210.1155/2022/6888115Freeway Traffic Speed Prediction under the Intelligent Driving Environment: A Deep Learning ApproachChengying Hua0Wei (David) Fan1USDOT Center for Advanced Multimodal Mobility Solutions and Education (CAMMSE)USDOT Center for Advanced Multimodal Mobility Solutions and Education (CAMMSE)The intelligent transportation system (ITS) has been proven capable of effectively addressing traffic congestion issues. For vehicles to perform effectively and improve mobility under the intelligent driving environment, real-time prediction of traffic speed is undoubtedly essential. Considering the complex spatiotemporal dependency inherent in traffic data, conventional prediction models encounter many limitations. To improve the prediction performance and investigate the temporal features, this study focuses on emerging deep neural networks (DNNs) using the Caltrans Performance Measurement System (PeMS) data. This research also establishes an intelligent driving environment in the simulation and compares the traditional car-following model with deep learning methods in terms of multiple performance metrics. The results indicate that both supervised learning and unsupervised learning are superior to the simulation-based model on the freeway, and the two deep learning networks are almost identical to one another. Besides, the result reveals that all models have their latent features for different time dimensions under the low traffic loads, transition states, and heavy traffic loads. This is critical in the application of prediction technologies in ITS. The findings can assist transportation researchers and traffic engineers in both traffic operation and management, such as bottleneck identification, platooning control, and route planning.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/6888115
spellingShingle Chengying Hua
Wei (David) Fan
Freeway Traffic Speed Prediction under the Intelligent Driving Environment: A Deep Learning Approach
Journal of Advanced Transportation
title Freeway Traffic Speed Prediction under the Intelligent Driving Environment: A Deep Learning Approach
title_full Freeway Traffic Speed Prediction under the Intelligent Driving Environment: A Deep Learning Approach
title_fullStr Freeway Traffic Speed Prediction under the Intelligent Driving Environment: A Deep Learning Approach
title_full_unstemmed Freeway Traffic Speed Prediction under the Intelligent Driving Environment: A Deep Learning Approach
title_short Freeway Traffic Speed Prediction under the Intelligent Driving Environment: A Deep Learning Approach
title_sort freeway traffic speed prediction under the intelligent driving environment a deep learning approach
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/6888115
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