A Review of the Detection Methods for Climate Regime Shifts

An abrupt climate change means that the climate system shifts from a steady state to another steady state. Study on the phenomenon and theory of the abrupt climate change is a new research field of modern climatology, and it is of great significance for the prediction of future climate change. The c...

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Main Authors: Qunqun Liu, Shiquan Wan, Bin Gu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2016-01-01
Series:Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2016/3536183
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author Qunqun Liu
Shiquan Wan
Bin Gu
author_facet Qunqun Liu
Shiquan Wan
Bin Gu
author_sort Qunqun Liu
collection DOAJ
description An abrupt climate change means that the climate system shifts from a steady state to another steady state. Study on the phenomenon and theory of the abrupt climate change is a new research field of modern climatology, and it is of great significance for the prediction of future climate change. The climate regime shift is one of the most common forms of abrupt climate change, which mainly refers to the statistical significant changes on the variable of climate system at one time scale. These detection methods can be roughly divided into five categories based on different types of abrupt changes, namely, abrupt mean value change, abrupt variance change, abrupt frequency change, abrupt probability density change, and the multivariable analysis. The main research progress of abrupt climate change detection methods is reviewed. What is more, some actual applications of those methods in observational data are provided. With the development of nonlinear science, many new methods have been presented for detecting an abrupt dynamic change in recent years, which is useful supplement for the abrupt change detection methods.
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spelling doaj-art-04706dc83c574dff8bb52def284d0fb82025-02-03T00:59:29ZengWileyDiscrete Dynamics in Nature and Society1026-02261607-887X2016-01-01201610.1155/2016/35361833536183A Review of the Detection Methods for Climate Regime ShiftsQunqun Liu0Shiquan Wan1Bin Gu2College of Physics, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing 210044, ChinaYangzhou Meteorological Office, Yangzhou 225009, ChinaCollege of Physics, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing 210044, ChinaAn abrupt climate change means that the climate system shifts from a steady state to another steady state. Study on the phenomenon and theory of the abrupt climate change is a new research field of modern climatology, and it is of great significance for the prediction of future climate change. The climate regime shift is one of the most common forms of abrupt climate change, which mainly refers to the statistical significant changes on the variable of climate system at one time scale. These detection methods can be roughly divided into five categories based on different types of abrupt changes, namely, abrupt mean value change, abrupt variance change, abrupt frequency change, abrupt probability density change, and the multivariable analysis. The main research progress of abrupt climate change detection methods is reviewed. What is more, some actual applications of those methods in observational data are provided. With the development of nonlinear science, many new methods have been presented for detecting an abrupt dynamic change in recent years, which is useful supplement for the abrupt change detection methods.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2016/3536183
spellingShingle Qunqun Liu
Shiquan Wan
Bin Gu
A Review of the Detection Methods for Climate Regime Shifts
Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
title A Review of the Detection Methods for Climate Regime Shifts
title_full A Review of the Detection Methods for Climate Regime Shifts
title_fullStr A Review of the Detection Methods for Climate Regime Shifts
title_full_unstemmed A Review of the Detection Methods for Climate Regime Shifts
title_short A Review of the Detection Methods for Climate Regime Shifts
title_sort review of the detection methods for climate regime shifts
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2016/3536183
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