Tourism Growth Prediction Based on Deep Learning Approach

The conventional tourism demand prediction models are currently facing several challenges due to the excess number of search intensity indices that are used as indicators of tourism demand. In this work, the framework for deep learning-based monthly prediction of the volumes of Macau tourist arrival...

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Main Authors: Xiaoling Ren, Yanyan Li, JuanJuan Zhao, Yan Qiang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2021-01-01
Series:Complexity
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/5531754
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author Xiaoling Ren
Yanyan Li
JuanJuan Zhao
Yan Qiang
author_facet Xiaoling Ren
Yanyan Li
JuanJuan Zhao
Yan Qiang
author_sort Xiaoling Ren
collection DOAJ
description The conventional tourism demand prediction models are currently facing several challenges due to the excess number of search intensity indices that are used as indicators of tourism demand. In this work, the framework for deep learning-based monthly prediction of the volumes of Macau tourist arrivals was presented. The main objective in this study is to predict the tourism growth via one of the deep learning algorithms of extracting new features. The outcome of this study showed that the performance of the adopted deep learning framework was better than that of artificial neural network and support vector regression models. Practitioners can rely on the identified relevant features from the developed framework to understand the nature of the relationships between the predictive factors of tourist demand and the actual volume of tourist arrival.
format Article
id doaj-art-0439ce2c8c3e43dab414598d06cbda50
institution Kabale University
issn 1076-2787
1099-0526
language English
publishDate 2021-01-01
publisher Wiley
record_format Article
series Complexity
spelling doaj-art-0439ce2c8c3e43dab414598d06cbda502025-02-03T06:12:56ZengWileyComplexity1076-27871099-05262021-01-01202110.1155/2021/55317545531754Tourism Growth Prediction Based on Deep Learning ApproachXiaoling Ren0Yanyan Li1JuanJuan Zhao2Yan Qiang3College of Economics and Management, Taiyuan University of Technology, Jinzhong 030600, ChinaCollege of History and Culture, Shanxi University, Taiyuan 030006, ChinaCollege of Information and Computer, Taiyuan University of Technology, Jinzhong 030600, ChinaCollege of Information and Computer, Taiyuan University of Technology, Jinzhong 030600, ChinaThe conventional tourism demand prediction models are currently facing several challenges due to the excess number of search intensity indices that are used as indicators of tourism demand. In this work, the framework for deep learning-based monthly prediction of the volumes of Macau tourist arrivals was presented. The main objective in this study is to predict the tourism growth via one of the deep learning algorithms of extracting new features. The outcome of this study showed that the performance of the adopted deep learning framework was better than that of artificial neural network and support vector regression models. Practitioners can rely on the identified relevant features from the developed framework to understand the nature of the relationships between the predictive factors of tourist demand and the actual volume of tourist arrival.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/5531754
spellingShingle Xiaoling Ren
Yanyan Li
JuanJuan Zhao
Yan Qiang
Tourism Growth Prediction Based on Deep Learning Approach
Complexity
title Tourism Growth Prediction Based on Deep Learning Approach
title_full Tourism Growth Prediction Based on Deep Learning Approach
title_fullStr Tourism Growth Prediction Based on Deep Learning Approach
title_full_unstemmed Tourism Growth Prediction Based on Deep Learning Approach
title_short Tourism Growth Prediction Based on Deep Learning Approach
title_sort tourism growth prediction based on deep learning approach
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/5531754
work_keys_str_mv AT xiaolingren tourismgrowthpredictionbasedondeeplearningapproach
AT yanyanli tourismgrowthpredictionbasedondeeplearningapproach
AT juanjuanzhao tourismgrowthpredictionbasedondeeplearningapproach
AT yanqiang tourismgrowthpredictionbasedondeeplearningapproach