Physically based modelling of glacier evolution under climate change in the tropical Andes by J. D. Mackay, J. D. Mackay, N. E. Barrand, D. M. Hannah, E. Potter, E. Potter, N. Montoya, W. Buytaert

“…The ensemble mean simulation estimates that total glacier mass will decrease to 17 % and 6 % of that in 2000 by 2100 for Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 4.5 and RCP8.5, respectively, which is more conservative than estimates from some other global glacier models.…”
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