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    Sensitivity assessment and simulation of ecosystem services in response to land use change in arid regions: Empirical evidence from Xinjiang, China by Xiaoyun Li, Chunsheng Wu

    Published 2025-02-01
    “…Given the current development momentum, the total ESV will present a downward trend by 2030 according to the simulation. (3) The ESV change revealed a notable spatial difference, wherein the loss of ESV was concentrated primarily in two major economic belts, while the rise was primarily observed in areas where the natural ecosystem and biological diversity were effectively protected. (4) The cross-sensitivity analysis demonstrated an extremely high sensitivity of ESV towards the change in water body and a relatively low sensitivity towards the change in construction land and cultivated land. (5) Enhancing intensive use of construction land, promoting yield and quality of cultivated land, prioritizing developing unused land, and strengthening water conservation are crucial for ecologically fragile arid regions. …”
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