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    Empirical prediction intervals applied to short term mortality forecasts and excess deaths by Ricarda Duerst, Jonas Schöley

    Published 2024-12-01
    “…Conclusion Our results highlight the importance of well-calibrated prediction intervals that account for the naturally occurring seasonal uncertainty in mortality forecasting. …”
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    Urban Economic Structures as Multidimensional Networks: A Complex Systems Framework for Analyzing Economic Development Trajectories by Shade T. Shutters

    Published 2024-01-01
    “…These transitions, which can be imposed by external circumstances or initiated by a city itself, include energy transitions, transitions to a circular economy, transitions following a pandemic or natural disaster, or intentional policies meant to “move” an urban economy toward a desired state. …”
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