State-space models in estimating Lithuanian Business Cycle by Audronė Jakaitienė

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Business cycle highlight: Global corona shock on the labour market by Klaus-Jürgen Gern, Philipp Hauber, Ulrich Stolzenburg

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Dynamic Analysis for a Kaldor–Kalecki Model of Business Cycle with Time Delay and Diffusion Effect by Wenjie Hu, Hua Zhao, Tao Dong

“…The dynamics behaviors of Kaldor–Kalecki business cycle model with diffusion effect and time delay under the Neumann boundary conditions are investigated. …”
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Numerical Exploration of Kaldorian Macrodynamics: Hopf-Neimark Bifurcations and Business Cycles with Fixed Exchange Rates by Toichiro Asada, Christos Douskos, Panagiotis Markellos

“…We determine the Hopf-Neimark bifurcation curve along which business cycles are generated, and discuss briefly the occurrence of Arnold tongues. …”
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Analysis of Business Cycles in the Breeding of Pigs, Cattle and Poultry and their Relationship to the Causality of Wheat and Rye Cultivation in Poland by Mateusz Mierzejewski, Magdalena Lampart

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Modeling Repayment Behavior of Consumer Loan in Portfolio across Business Cycle: A Triplet Markov Model Approach by Shou Chen, Xiangqian Jiang

“…With a view to develop a more realistic model for credit risk analysis in consumer loan, our paper addresses the problem of how to incorporate business cycles into a repayment behavior model of consumer loan in portfolio. …”
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Research on the Relationship between Business Cycle and Industrial Fluctuations in Northeast China Based on Complete Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition with Adaptive Noise by Yinan Zhou, Guofeng Gu, Qiushuang Ren

“…The results obtained are as follows: (1) In the three northeastern provinces of China, economic fluctuations were almost free from the influence of the primary industry, most affected by the secondary industry, and gradually influenced by the tertiary industry after the 21st century. (2) Regarding the short-term business cycle of each province, economic development was the most stable when the market and government participated in the development of the secondary industry simultaneously. (3) The midterm business cycle of Jilin Province was affected by the investment of equipment in secondary and tertiary industries, while that of Liaoning Province was affected by the investment of equipment in the secondary industry. (4) Investment in the equipment of the secondary industry and the construction of secondary and tertiary industries was the key to maintaining the stability of long-term business cycle in Heilongjiang Province, and that in the construction of secondary and tertiary industries was the key to maintaining the stability of long-term business cycles in Jilin and Liaoning Provinces.…”
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Efficiency of Production Factors in the EU by Martina Novotná, Tomáš Volek

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The Cyclicality of Loan Loss Provision in Brazilian Commercial Banks by Antônio Maria Henri Beyle de Araújo, Paulo Roberto Barbosa Lustosa, José Alves Dantas

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Building a Monthly Chronology of Recessions for the State of Espírito Santo by Augusto Reis Gomes, Matheus Albergaria de Magalhães

Subjects: “…business cycles…”
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The Effects of Monetary Policies on the Capital Structures of the Firms by Octávio Valente Campos, Wagner Moura Lamounier

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Balancing the books or winning votes: unveiling the power of fiscal strategies in local elections and the fate of prudent mayors by Krzysztof Kluza, Hanna Kociemska, Wojciech Rafał

Subjects: “…Political business cycle…”
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Nowcasting of Russian manufacturing output using business survey data by R. E. Gartvich

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Out-of-Sample Predictability of the Equity Risk Premium by Daniel de Almeida, Ana-Maria Fuertes, Luiz Koodi Hotta

Subjects: “…business cycles…”
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Problems of Overcoming Market Failures in the Context of Economic Crisis in the Euro Area by A. Y. Pluiko

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ECONOMIC VIEWS OF S. KUZNETS AND THE RECEPTION OF THE THEORY OF MEDIUM-TERM CYCLES IN THE POLITICAL ECONOMY NARRATIVE by A. I. Bolvachev, K. A. Kushnarev

Subjects: “…business cycles…”
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Economic Adjustment Pocedures of the German Bundesländer by Markus Kasseckert

“…With the exception of Bavaria, all Bundesländer use such a method to determine the business cycle component. This article collects and synthesizes the processes carried out so far and the business cycle components determined in order to be able to draw initial conclusions for possible and sometimes necessary further developments.…”
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Le multiplicateur budgétaire endogène au cycle dans un modèle macroéconomique post-keynésien by Sébastien Charles

“…In what follows, we show that this variability can be explained partly by changing propensities to save and to import during the business cycle. Then, we incorporate endogenous propensities, varying with capacity utilisation, into a Post-Keynesian model. …”
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Budget Semi-Elasticity and its Impact on Debt Flexibility in the Context of the Debt Brake by Philipp Heimberger, Bernhard Schütz

“…The second key determinant of the cyclical budget component, however, has been neglected: the semi-elasticity of the budget balance, which measures the response of federal revenues and expenditures to the business cycle. We analyse the sensitivity of estimates of the semi-elasticity with respect to data inputs and model specifications. …”
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Desempleo y reforma laboral en España durante la Gran Recesión by Elíes Furió Blasco, Matilde Alonso Pérez

“…The reform aims to achieve higher internal flexibility to get an adjustment to business cycle fluctuations. However, it fails in other relevant areas, like suppressing dualism, improving the effectiveness of active labor market policies, enhancing productivity and maintaining the level of social protection of workers.…”
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