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    Assessing the robustness and implications of econometric estimates of climate sensitivity by Trude Storelvmo, Menghan Yuan, Thomas Leirvik, Kari Alterskjær, Peter C B Phillips, Chris Smith

    Published 2025-01-01
    “…Similarly, the sixth report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, while not solely reliant on ESMs for its TCR assessment, produced a very likely range of 1.2 ^∘ C–2.4 ^∘ C. To complement earlier, ESM-based, estimates, we here present a new TCR estimate of 2.17 (1.72–2.77) ^∘ C (95% confidence interval), derived based on a statistical relationship between surface air temperature and observational proxies for its main drivers, i.e. changes in atmospheric greenhouse gases and aerosols. …”
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