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    Prediction of influenza peaks in Russian cities: Comparing the accuracy of two SEIR models by Vasiliy N. Leonenko, Sergey V. Ivanov

    Published 2018-01-01
    “…The outbreak peak day and height predictions were performed by calibrating both models to varied-size samples of long-term data on ARI incidence in Moscow, Saint Petersburg, and Novosibirsk. The accuracy of the modeling predictions on incomplete data was compared with a number of other peak forecasting methods tested on the same dataset. …”
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