Assessing power-to-heat technologies for industrial electrification: A multi-criteria decision analysis approach

Transitioning industrial heat systems from fossil fuels to electric-based solutions is crucial to mitigate climate change. This research identifies and evaluates various power-to-heat technologies, each technology contributes uniquely to the overarching goal of industrial electrification. Through a...

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Main Authors: Arman Ashabi, Mohamed Mostafa, Andriy Hryshchenko, Ken Bruton, Dominic T.J. O’sullivan
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-01-01
Series:Energy Conversion and Management: X
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590174525000145
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author Arman Ashabi
Mohamed Mostafa
Andriy Hryshchenko
Ken Bruton
Dominic T.J. O’sullivan
author_facet Arman Ashabi
Mohamed Mostafa
Andriy Hryshchenko
Ken Bruton
Dominic T.J. O’sullivan
author_sort Arman Ashabi
collection DOAJ
description Transitioning industrial heat systems from fossil fuels to electric-based solutions is crucial to mitigate climate change. This research identifies and evaluates various power-to-heat technologies, each technology contributes uniquely to the overarching goal of industrial electrification. Through a rigorous methodology involving categorisation based on technology readiness level (TRL), electrification stage, carbon emission per each kWh of heat delivery, energy efficiency, installation complexity, and life span, a Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) is conducted to assess the performance of each technology. To validate the proposed ranking, the weighted sum method (WSM) was compared to the Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS). In addition to prioritizing each criterion, six scenarios were investigated using sensitivity analysis to determine the performance of each criterion and ranking of technologies using a scenario based weighting technique. The study indicates Heat Pump and Mechanical Vapor Recompression as the most dependable and high-performing technologies, continuously giving top marks and serving as the finest solutions for a wide range of applications. In contrast, Plasma Technology and Microwave and Radio frequency heaters are regarded as the least effective, with continuously low ratings, making them less desirable alternatives. By synthesizing the results and defining different scenarios, this detailed analysis provides decision-makers, industry stakeholders, and researchers with useful insights into the many alternatives for direct electrification of heat supply. Finally, the MCDA in this study is designed for current and future scenarios, allowing new technologies to be analyzed and ranked with the proposed algorithm.
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spelling doaj-art-ffcd3ba8d6544b0ca9211f855fa4ef6a2025-01-22T05:43:58ZengElsevierEnergy Conversion and Management: X2590-17452025-01-0125100882Assessing power-to-heat technologies for industrial electrification: A multi-criteria decision analysis approachArman Ashabi0Mohamed Mostafa1Andriy Hryshchenko2Ken Bruton3Dominic T.J. O’sullivan4Corresponding author.; Intelligent Efficiency Research Group (IERG), School of Engineering, University College Cork, Cork, IrelandIntelligent Efficiency Research Group (IERG), School of Engineering, University College Cork, Cork, IrelandIntelligent Efficiency Research Group (IERG), School of Engineering, University College Cork, Cork, IrelandIntelligent Efficiency Research Group (IERG), School of Engineering, University College Cork, Cork, IrelandIntelligent Efficiency Research Group (IERG), School of Engineering, University College Cork, Cork, IrelandTransitioning industrial heat systems from fossil fuels to electric-based solutions is crucial to mitigate climate change. This research identifies and evaluates various power-to-heat technologies, each technology contributes uniquely to the overarching goal of industrial electrification. Through a rigorous methodology involving categorisation based on technology readiness level (TRL), electrification stage, carbon emission per each kWh of heat delivery, energy efficiency, installation complexity, and life span, a Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) is conducted to assess the performance of each technology. To validate the proposed ranking, the weighted sum method (WSM) was compared to the Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS). In addition to prioritizing each criterion, six scenarios were investigated using sensitivity analysis to determine the performance of each criterion and ranking of technologies using a scenario based weighting technique. The study indicates Heat Pump and Mechanical Vapor Recompression as the most dependable and high-performing technologies, continuously giving top marks and serving as the finest solutions for a wide range of applications. In contrast, Plasma Technology and Microwave and Radio frequency heaters are regarded as the least effective, with continuously low ratings, making them less desirable alternatives. By synthesizing the results and defining different scenarios, this detailed analysis provides decision-makers, industry stakeholders, and researchers with useful insights into the many alternatives for direct electrification of heat supply. Finally, the MCDA in this study is designed for current and future scenarios, allowing new technologies to be analyzed and ranked with the proposed algorithm.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590174525000145Decision supportElectrificationEnergy efficiencyPower-to-heatScenario analysis
spellingShingle Arman Ashabi
Mohamed Mostafa
Andriy Hryshchenko
Ken Bruton
Dominic T.J. O’sullivan
Assessing power-to-heat technologies for industrial electrification: A multi-criteria decision analysis approach
Energy Conversion and Management: X
Decision support
Electrification
Energy efficiency
Power-to-heat
Scenario analysis
title Assessing power-to-heat technologies for industrial electrification: A multi-criteria decision analysis approach
title_full Assessing power-to-heat technologies for industrial electrification: A multi-criteria decision analysis approach
title_fullStr Assessing power-to-heat technologies for industrial electrification: A multi-criteria decision analysis approach
title_full_unstemmed Assessing power-to-heat technologies for industrial electrification: A multi-criteria decision analysis approach
title_short Assessing power-to-heat technologies for industrial electrification: A multi-criteria decision analysis approach
title_sort assessing power to heat technologies for industrial electrification a multi criteria decision analysis approach
topic Decision support
Electrification
Energy efficiency
Power-to-heat
Scenario analysis
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590174525000145
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AT andriyhryshchenko assessingpowertoheattechnologiesforindustrialelectrificationamulticriteriadecisionanalysisapproach
AT kenbruton assessingpowertoheattechnologiesforindustrialelectrificationamulticriteriadecisionanalysisapproach
AT dominictjosullivan assessingpowertoheattechnologiesforindustrialelectrificationamulticriteriadecisionanalysisapproach