Optimization of Tourism Real Estate Development Project Based on Option Premium Model

Compared with that of traditional housing real estate, the development of tourism real estate is time-consuming, complex, and irreversible. It is hard to guide investment decision-making on tourism real estate with the conventional discount cash flow (DCF) method. This paper aims to demonstrate that...

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Main Author: Donglei Ying
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2021-01-01
Series:Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/2954795
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author Donglei Ying
author_facet Donglei Ying
author_sort Donglei Ying
collection DOAJ
description Compared with that of traditional housing real estate, the development of tourism real estate is time-consuming, complex, and irreversible. It is hard to guide investment decision-making on tourism real estate with the conventional discount cash flow (DCF) method. This paper aims to demonstrate that the real option method can improve and optimize the investment decision-making on tourism real estate. Through case analysis, the real option model, i.e., the classic American real option model, and binary tree value distribution model were adopted to analyze the factors affecting the real option of tourism real estate, optimize the development sequence of tourism real estate project, and demonstrate the phased development value of tourism real state, thereby enhancing the development value of tourism real estate projects. The case analysis proves that tourism real estate investment is fully consistent with real option in the uncertain spatiotemporal attributes: uncertainty, irreversibility, and timeliness. Therefore, tourism real estate project carries obvious features of real option. The decision-making by the real option model is much more scientific and superior than that by the conventional DCF method. Since the application of real option theory has been emphasizing housing real estate over tourism real estate, the research results enrich the theory on real option-based investment decision-making for real estate and expand the application scope of real option.
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institution Kabale University
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language English
publishDate 2021-01-01
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series Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
spelling doaj-art-ffb733cfa29b4b00b1be77562a9f72042025-02-03T01:25:10ZengWileyDiscrete Dynamics in Nature and Society1026-02261607-887X2021-01-01202110.1155/2021/29547952954795Optimization of Tourism Real Estate Development Project Based on Option Premium ModelDonglei Ying0School of Economics and Management, Tongji University, Shanghai 200092, ChinaCompared with that of traditional housing real estate, the development of tourism real estate is time-consuming, complex, and irreversible. It is hard to guide investment decision-making on tourism real estate with the conventional discount cash flow (DCF) method. This paper aims to demonstrate that the real option method can improve and optimize the investment decision-making on tourism real estate. Through case analysis, the real option model, i.e., the classic American real option model, and binary tree value distribution model were adopted to analyze the factors affecting the real option of tourism real estate, optimize the development sequence of tourism real estate project, and demonstrate the phased development value of tourism real state, thereby enhancing the development value of tourism real estate projects. The case analysis proves that tourism real estate investment is fully consistent with real option in the uncertain spatiotemporal attributes: uncertainty, irreversibility, and timeliness. Therefore, tourism real estate project carries obvious features of real option. The decision-making by the real option model is much more scientific and superior than that by the conventional DCF method. Since the application of real option theory has been emphasizing housing real estate over tourism real estate, the research results enrich the theory on real option-based investment decision-making for real estate and expand the application scope of real option.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/2954795
spellingShingle Donglei Ying
Optimization of Tourism Real Estate Development Project Based on Option Premium Model
Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
title Optimization of Tourism Real Estate Development Project Based on Option Premium Model
title_full Optimization of Tourism Real Estate Development Project Based on Option Premium Model
title_fullStr Optimization of Tourism Real Estate Development Project Based on Option Premium Model
title_full_unstemmed Optimization of Tourism Real Estate Development Project Based on Option Premium Model
title_short Optimization of Tourism Real Estate Development Project Based on Option Premium Model
title_sort optimization of tourism real estate development project based on option premium model
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/2954795
work_keys_str_mv AT dongleiying optimizationoftourismrealestatedevelopmentprojectbasedonoptionpremiummodel