Medium-Term Earthquake Forecast Using Gravity Monitoring Data: Evidence from the Yutian and Wenchuan Earthquakes in China
Gravity changes derived from regional gravity monitoring data in China from 1998 to 2005 exhibited noticeable variations before the occurrence of two large earthquakes in 2008 in China—the 2008 Yutian (Xinjiang) Ms=7.3 earthquake and the 2008 Wenchuan (Sichuan) Ms=8.0 earthquake. Based on these grav...
Saved in:
| Main Authors: | , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Wiley
2012-01-01
|
| Series: | International Journal of Geophysics |
| Online Access: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2012/307517 |
| Tags: |
Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
|
| _version_ | 1832556930702245888 |
|---|---|
| author | Yiqing Zhu F. Benjamin Zhan |
| author_facet | Yiqing Zhu F. Benjamin Zhan |
| author_sort | Yiqing Zhu |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Gravity changes derived from regional gravity monitoring data in China from 1998 to 2005 exhibited noticeable variations before the occurrence of two large earthquakes in 2008 in China—the 2008 Yutian (Xinjiang) Ms=7.3 earthquake and the 2008 Wenchuan (Sichuan) Ms=8.0 earthquake. Based on these gravity variations, a group of researchers at the Second Crust Monitoring and Application Center of China Earthquake Administration made a suggestion in December of 2006 that the possibility for the Yutian (Xinjiang) and Wenchuan (Sichuan) areas to experience a large earthquake in either 2007 or 2008 was high. We review the gravity monitoring data and methods upon which the researchers reached these medium-term earthquake forecasts. Experience related to the medium-term forecasts of the Yutian and Wenchuan earthquakes suggests that gravity changes derived from regional gravity monitoring data could potentially be a useful medium-term precursor of large earthquakes, but significant additional research is needed to validate and evaluate this hypothesis. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-fd7f22bbce8c4681b9937e77201e42c1 |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 1687-885X 1687-8868 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2012-01-01 |
| publisher | Wiley |
| record_format | Article |
| series | International Journal of Geophysics |
| spelling | doaj-art-fd7f22bbce8c4681b9937e77201e42c12025-02-03T05:44:07ZengWileyInternational Journal of Geophysics1687-885X1687-88682012-01-01201210.1155/2012/307517307517Medium-Term Earthquake Forecast Using Gravity Monitoring Data: Evidence from the Yutian and Wenchuan Earthquakes in ChinaYiqing Zhu0F. Benjamin Zhan1Institute of Geodesy and Geophysics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Wuhan 430077, ChinaSchool of Resource and Environmental Science, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430079, ChinaGravity changes derived from regional gravity monitoring data in China from 1998 to 2005 exhibited noticeable variations before the occurrence of two large earthquakes in 2008 in China—the 2008 Yutian (Xinjiang) Ms=7.3 earthquake and the 2008 Wenchuan (Sichuan) Ms=8.0 earthquake. Based on these gravity variations, a group of researchers at the Second Crust Monitoring and Application Center of China Earthquake Administration made a suggestion in December of 2006 that the possibility for the Yutian (Xinjiang) and Wenchuan (Sichuan) areas to experience a large earthquake in either 2007 or 2008 was high. We review the gravity monitoring data and methods upon which the researchers reached these medium-term earthquake forecasts. Experience related to the medium-term forecasts of the Yutian and Wenchuan earthquakes suggests that gravity changes derived from regional gravity monitoring data could potentially be a useful medium-term precursor of large earthquakes, but significant additional research is needed to validate and evaluate this hypothesis.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2012/307517 |
| spellingShingle | Yiqing Zhu F. Benjamin Zhan Medium-Term Earthquake Forecast Using Gravity Monitoring Data: Evidence from the Yutian and Wenchuan Earthquakes in China International Journal of Geophysics |
| title | Medium-Term Earthquake Forecast Using Gravity Monitoring Data: Evidence from the Yutian and Wenchuan Earthquakes in China |
| title_full | Medium-Term Earthquake Forecast Using Gravity Monitoring Data: Evidence from the Yutian and Wenchuan Earthquakes in China |
| title_fullStr | Medium-Term Earthquake Forecast Using Gravity Monitoring Data: Evidence from the Yutian and Wenchuan Earthquakes in China |
| title_full_unstemmed | Medium-Term Earthquake Forecast Using Gravity Monitoring Data: Evidence from the Yutian and Wenchuan Earthquakes in China |
| title_short | Medium-Term Earthquake Forecast Using Gravity Monitoring Data: Evidence from the Yutian and Wenchuan Earthquakes in China |
| title_sort | medium term earthquake forecast using gravity monitoring data evidence from the yutian and wenchuan earthquakes in china |
| url | http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2012/307517 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT yiqingzhu mediumtermearthquakeforecastusinggravitymonitoringdataevidencefromtheyutianandwenchuanearthquakesinchina AT fbenjaminzhan mediumtermearthquakeforecastusinggravitymonitoringdataevidencefromtheyutianandwenchuanearthquakesinchina |