The Use of Machine Learning Methods in Road Safety Research in Poland

Every year, thousands of accidents occur in Poland, often resulting in severe injuries or even death. The implementation of solutions supporting road safety analysis and management processes is necessary to reduce the risk of accidents and minimize their consequences. One of the rapidly developing t...

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Main Authors: Anna Borucka, Sebastian Sobczuk
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-01-01
Series:Applied Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/15/2/861
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author Anna Borucka
Sebastian Sobczuk
author_facet Anna Borucka
Sebastian Sobczuk
author_sort Anna Borucka
collection DOAJ
description Every year, thousands of accidents occur in Poland, often resulting in severe injuries or even death. The implementation of solutions supporting road safety analysis and management processes is necessary to reduce the risk of accidents and minimize their consequences. One of the rapidly developing tools that can play a key role in this area is machine learning. The aim of this study was to develop mathematical models based on ML algorithms describing road safety in Poland. First, variables with the strongest impact on safety were extracted. Then, mathematical modeling was performed using the k-Nearest Neighbors, Random Forest, and RPart algorithms. The best choice for imbalanced data, especially when the goal is to identify rare classes, is the RF model. The KNN model provides a compromise in situations where the highest overall accuracy is desired. On the other hand, the RPart model can be used as a fast, basic model, but it requires improvements to handle rare classes. The results not only identified factors that significantly affect the severity of injuries or the number of fatalities in accidents but, above all, also demonstrated the ability of ML-based models to predict threats and their consequences.
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spelling doaj-art-fd55ff5a1e894efda044cceac8e50fa92025-01-24T13:21:06ZengMDPI AGApplied Sciences2076-34172025-01-0115286110.3390/app15020861The Use of Machine Learning Methods in Road Safety Research in PolandAnna Borucka0Sebastian Sobczuk1Faculty of Security, Logistics and Management, Military University of Technology, 00-908 Warsaw, PolandDoctoral School, Military University of Technology, 00-908 Warsaw, PolandEvery year, thousands of accidents occur in Poland, often resulting in severe injuries or even death. The implementation of solutions supporting road safety analysis and management processes is necessary to reduce the risk of accidents and minimize their consequences. One of the rapidly developing tools that can play a key role in this area is machine learning. The aim of this study was to develop mathematical models based on ML algorithms describing road safety in Poland. First, variables with the strongest impact on safety were extracted. Then, mathematical modeling was performed using the k-Nearest Neighbors, Random Forest, and RPart algorithms. The best choice for imbalanced data, especially when the goal is to identify rare classes, is the RF model. The KNN model provides a compromise in situations where the highest overall accuracy is desired. On the other hand, the RPart model can be used as a fast, basic model, but it requires improvements to handle rare classes. The results not only identified factors that significantly affect the severity of injuries or the number of fatalities in accidents but, above all, also demonstrated the ability of ML-based models to predict threats and their consequences.https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/15/2/861road safetytransportationPolandmachine learningRandom Forestk-Nearest Neighbors
spellingShingle Anna Borucka
Sebastian Sobczuk
The Use of Machine Learning Methods in Road Safety Research in Poland
Applied Sciences
road safety
transportation
Poland
machine learning
Random Forest
k-Nearest Neighbors
title The Use of Machine Learning Methods in Road Safety Research in Poland
title_full The Use of Machine Learning Methods in Road Safety Research in Poland
title_fullStr The Use of Machine Learning Methods in Road Safety Research in Poland
title_full_unstemmed The Use of Machine Learning Methods in Road Safety Research in Poland
title_short The Use of Machine Learning Methods in Road Safety Research in Poland
title_sort use of machine learning methods in road safety research in poland
topic road safety
transportation
Poland
machine learning
Random Forest
k-Nearest Neighbors
url https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/15/2/861
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