Projection in Future Drought Hazard of South Korea Based on RCP Climate Change Scenario 8.5 Using SPEI
The Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) analysis was conducted using monthly precipitation data and temperature data on a 12.5 km × 12.5 km resolution based on a Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) 8.5 climate change scenario, and the characteristics of drought were id...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Wiley
2016-01-01
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| Series: | Advances in Meteorology |
| Online Access: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2016/4148710 |
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| author | Byung Sik Kim In Gi Chang Jang Hyun Sung Hae Jin Han |
| author_facet | Byung Sik Kim In Gi Chang Jang Hyun Sung Hae Jin Han |
| author_sort | Byung Sik Kim |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | The Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) analysis was conducted using monthly precipitation data and temperature data on a 12.5 km × 12.5 km resolution based on a Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) 8.5 climate change scenario, and the characteristics of drought were identified by the threshold. In addition, the changes in drought severity and intensity were projected using the threshold based on the run-length concept and frequency analysis. As a result of the analysis, the probability density function of the total drought and maximum drought intensity moved the upper tail for the upcoming years, and the average drought intensity was also projected to become stronger in the future than in the present to the right side. Through this, it could be projected that the drought scale and frequency and the drought intensity will become severer over South Korea because of future climate change. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-fd229546028e424eb9f24b9dc2a7db00 |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 1687-9309 1687-9317 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2016-01-01 |
| publisher | Wiley |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Advances in Meteorology |
| spelling | doaj-art-fd229546028e424eb9f24b9dc2a7db002025-02-03T05:47:09ZengWileyAdvances in Meteorology1687-93091687-93172016-01-01201610.1155/2016/41487104148710Projection in Future Drought Hazard of South Korea Based on RCP Climate Change Scenario 8.5 Using SPEIByung Sik Kim0In Gi Chang1Jang Hyun Sung2Hae Jin Han3Department of Urban & Environmental Disaster Prevention, School of Disaster Prevention, Kangwon National University, 345 Jungang-ro, Samcheck-si, Gangwon-do, Republic of KoreaDepartment of Urban & Environmental Disaster Prevention, School of Disaster Prevention, Kangwon National University, 345 Jungang-ro, Samcheck-si, Gangwon-do, Republic of KoreaMinistry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport, Geum River Flood Control Office, No. 551, Gongju-si, Chungcheongnam-do, Republic of KoreaKorea Environment Institute, 370 Sicheong-daero, Sejong-si, Republic of KoreaThe Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) analysis was conducted using monthly precipitation data and temperature data on a 12.5 km × 12.5 km resolution based on a Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) 8.5 climate change scenario, and the characteristics of drought were identified by the threshold. In addition, the changes in drought severity and intensity were projected using the threshold based on the run-length concept and frequency analysis. As a result of the analysis, the probability density function of the total drought and maximum drought intensity moved the upper tail for the upcoming years, and the average drought intensity was also projected to become stronger in the future than in the present to the right side. Through this, it could be projected that the drought scale and frequency and the drought intensity will become severer over South Korea because of future climate change.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2016/4148710 |
| spellingShingle | Byung Sik Kim In Gi Chang Jang Hyun Sung Hae Jin Han Projection in Future Drought Hazard of South Korea Based on RCP Climate Change Scenario 8.5 Using SPEI Advances in Meteorology |
| title | Projection in Future Drought Hazard of South Korea Based on RCP Climate Change Scenario 8.5 Using SPEI |
| title_full | Projection in Future Drought Hazard of South Korea Based on RCP Climate Change Scenario 8.5 Using SPEI |
| title_fullStr | Projection in Future Drought Hazard of South Korea Based on RCP Climate Change Scenario 8.5 Using SPEI |
| title_full_unstemmed | Projection in Future Drought Hazard of South Korea Based on RCP Climate Change Scenario 8.5 Using SPEI |
| title_short | Projection in Future Drought Hazard of South Korea Based on RCP Climate Change Scenario 8.5 Using SPEI |
| title_sort | projection in future drought hazard of south korea based on rcp climate change scenario 8 5 using spei |
| url | http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2016/4148710 |
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