Stability and Complexity Analysis of Temperature Index Model Considering Stochastic Perturbation

A temperature index model with delay and stochastic perturbation is constructed in this paper. It explores the influence of parameters and stochastic factors on the stability and complexity of the model. Based on historical temperature data of four cities of Anhui Province in China, the temperature...

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Main Author: Jing Wang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2018-01-01
Series:Advances in Mathematical Physics
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2018/2789412
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author Jing Wang
author_facet Jing Wang
author_sort Jing Wang
collection DOAJ
description A temperature index model with delay and stochastic perturbation is constructed in this paper. It explores the influence of parameters and stochastic factors on the stability and complexity of the model. Based on historical temperature data of four cities of Anhui Province in China, the temperature periodic variation trends of approximately sinusoidal curves of four cities are given, respectively. In addition, we analyze the existence conditions of the local stability of the temperature index model without stochastic term and estimate its parameters by using the same historical data of the four cities, respectively. The numerical simulation results of the four cities are basically consistent with the descriptions of their historical temperature data, which proves that the temperature index model constructed has good fitting degree. It also shows that unreasonable delay parameter can make the model lose stability and improve the complexity. Stochastic factors do not usually change the trend in temperature, but they can cause high frequency fluctuations in the process of temperature evolution. Stability control is successfully realized for unstable systems by the variable feedback control method. The trend of temperature changes in Anhui Province is deduced by analyzing four typical cities.
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institution Kabale University
issn 1687-9120
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publishDate 2018-01-01
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series Advances in Mathematical Physics
spelling doaj-art-fc302414d3844884a42096509b7d0aa52025-02-03T01:28:12ZengWileyAdvances in Mathematical Physics1687-91201687-91392018-01-01201810.1155/2018/27894122789412Stability and Complexity Analysis of Temperature Index Model Considering Stochastic PerturbationJing Wang0Faculty of Science, Bengbu University, Bengbu 233030, ChinaA temperature index model with delay and stochastic perturbation is constructed in this paper. It explores the influence of parameters and stochastic factors on the stability and complexity of the model. Based on historical temperature data of four cities of Anhui Province in China, the temperature periodic variation trends of approximately sinusoidal curves of four cities are given, respectively. In addition, we analyze the existence conditions of the local stability of the temperature index model without stochastic term and estimate its parameters by using the same historical data of the four cities, respectively. The numerical simulation results of the four cities are basically consistent with the descriptions of their historical temperature data, which proves that the temperature index model constructed has good fitting degree. It also shows that unreasonable delay parameter can make the model lose stability and improve the complexity. Stochastic factors do not usually change the trend in temperature, but they can cause high frequency fluctuations in the process of temperature evolution. Stability control is successfully realized for unstable systems by the variable feedback control method. The trend of temperature changes in Anhui Province is deduced by analyzing four typical cities.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2018/2789412
spellingShingle Jing Wang
Stability and Complexity Analysis of Temperature Index Model Considering Stochastic Perturbation
Advances in Mathematical Physics
title Stability and Complexity Analysis of Temperature Index Model Considering Stochastic Perturbation
title_full Stability and Complexity Analysis of Temperature Index Model Considering Stochastic Perturbation
title_fullStr Stability and Complexity Analysis of Temperature Index Model Considering Stochastic Perturbation
title_full_unstemmed Stability and Complexity Analysis of Temperature Index Model Considering Stochastic Perturbation
title_short Stability and Complexity Analysis of Temperature Index Model Considering Stochastic Perturbation
title_sort stability and complexity analysis of temperature index model considering stochastic perturbation
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2018/2789412
work_keys_str_mv AT jingwang stabilityandcomplexityanalysisoftemperatureindexmodelconsideringstochasticperturbation