Fiscal Policy of the Federal Government: Between a Debt Brake and Tax Increases

Abstract The 2021 election campaign in Germany has revealed substantial demands on the federal budget in the coming legislative period. Some coalition partners, however, have rejected a reform of the debt brake and simultaneously promise tax cuts. A ‘burden forecast’ for the next four years indicate...

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Main Authors: Matthias Diermeier, Michael Hüther, Thomas Obst
Format: Article
Language:deu
Published: Sciendo 2021-09-01
Series:Wirtschaftsdienst
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1007/s10273-021-3002-6
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author Matthias Diermeier
Michael Hüther
Thomas Obst
author_facet Matthias Diermeier
Michael Hüther
Thomas Obst
author_sort Matthias Diermeier
collection DOAJ
description Abstract The 2021 election campaign in Germany has revealed substantial demands on the federal budget in the coming legislative period. Some coalition partners, however, have rejected a reform of the debt brake and simultaneously promise tax cuts. A ‘burden forecast’ for the next four years indicates that these campaign promises will triple expenditures from 37 to 105.1 billion euro and will exclude urgent investments to modernise public infrastructure, cope with climate change and tackle digital transformation. With the debt brake maxed out, the financing of up to 263 billion euro remains up in the air. Keeping the debt brake without increasing taxes would be like trying to ‘square the circle’.
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institution Kabale University
issn 0043-6275
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publishDate 2021-09-01
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series Wirtschaftsdienst
spelling doaj-art-fbd83905037f4144a0f3beff29b021ba2025-02-02T09:47:51ZdeuSciendoWirtschaftsdienst0043-62751613-978X2021-09-01101969269910.1007/s10273-021-3002-6Fiscal Policy of the Federal Government: Between a Debt Brake and Tax IncreasesMatthias Diermeier0Michael Hüther1Thomas Obst2Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft Köln e.V.Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft Köln e.V.Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft Köln e.V.Abstract The 2021 election campaign in Germany has revealed substantial demands on the federal budget in the coming legislative period. Some coalition partners, however, have rejected a reform of the debt brake and simultaneously promise tax cuts. A ‘burden forecast’ for the next four years indicates that these campaign promises will triple expenditures from 37 to 105.1 billion euro and will exclude urgent investments to modernise public infrastructure, cope with climate change and tackle digital transformation. With the debt brake maxed out, the financing of up to 263 billion euro remains up in the air. Keeping the debt brake without increasing taxes would be like trying to ‘square the circle’.https://doi.org/10.1007/s10273-021-3002-6
spellingShingle Matthias Diermeier
Michael Hüther
Thomas Obst
Fiscal Policy of the Federal Government: Between a Debt Brake and Tax Increases
Wirtschaftsdienst
title Fiscal Policy of the Federal Government: Between a Debt Brake and Tax Increases
title_full Fiscal Policy of the Federal Government: Between a Debt Brake and Tax Increases
title_fullStr Fiscal Policy of the Federal Government: Between a Debt Brake and Tax Increases
title_full_unstemmed Fiscal Policy of the Federal Government: Between a Debt Brake and Tax Increases
title_short Fiscal Policy of the Federal Government: Between a Debt Brake and Tax Increases
title_sort fiscal policy of the federal government between a debt brake and tax increases
url https://doi.org/10.1007/s10273-021-3002-6
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AT thomasobst fiscalpolicyofthefederalgovernmentbetweenadebtbrakeandtaxincreases