Comparison of Mortality Risk Models in Patients with Postcardiac Arrest Cardiogenic Shock and Percutaneous Mechanical Circulatory Support

Background. Although scoring systems are widely used to predict outcomes in postcardiac arrest cardiogenic shock (CS) after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) complicating acute myocardial infarction (AMI), data concerning the accuracy of these scores to predict mortality of patients treated with...

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Main Authors: Georgios Chatzis, Birgit Markus, Styliani Syntila, Christian Waechter, Ulrich Luesebrink, Holger Ahrens, Dimitar Divchev, Bernhard Schieffer, Konstantinos Karatolios
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2021-01-01
Series:Journal of Interventional Cardiology
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/8843935
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author Georgios Chatzis
Birgit Markus
Styliani Syntila
Christian Waechter
Ulrich Luesebrink
Holger Ahrens
Dimitar Divchev
Bernhard Schieffer
Konstantinos Karatolios
author_facet Georgios Chatzis
Birgit Markus
Styliani Syntila
Christian Waechter
Ulrich Luesebrink
Holger Ahrens
Dimitar Divchev
Bernhard Schieffer
Konstantinos Karatolios
author_sort Georgios Chatzis
collection DOAJ
description Background. Although scoring systems are widely used to predict outcomes in postcardiac arrest cardiogenic shock (CS) after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) complicating acute myocardial infarction (AMI), data concerning the accuracy of these scores to predict mortality of patients treated with Impella in this setting are lacking. Thus, we aimed to evaluate as well as to compare the prognostic accuracy of acute physiology and chronic health II (APACHE II), simplified acute physiology score II (SAPS II), sepsis-related organ failure assessment (SOFA), the intra-aortic balloon pump (IABP), CardShock, the prediction of cardiogenic shock outcome for AMI patients salvaged by VA-ECMO (ENCOURAGE), and the survival after venoarterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (SAVE) score in patients with OHCA refractory CS due to an AMI treated with Impella 2.5 or CP. Methods. Retrospective study of 65 consecutive Impella 2.5 and 32 CP patients treated in our cardiac arrest center from September 2015 until June 2020. Results. Overall survival to discharge was 44.3%. The expected mortality according to scores was SOFA 70%, SAPS II 90%, IABP shock 55%, CardShock 80%, APACHE II 85%, ENCOURAGE 50%, and SAVE score 70% in the 2.5 group; SOFA 70%, SAPS II 85%, IABP shock 55%, CardShock 80%, APACHE II 85%, ENCOURAGE 75%, and SAVE score 70% in the CP group. The ENCOURAGE score was the most effective predictive model of mortality outcome presenting a moderate area under the curve (AUC) of 0.79, followed by the CardShock, APACHE II, IABP, and SAPS score. These derived an AUC between 0.71 and 0.78. The SOFA and the SAVE scores failed to predict the outcome in this particular setting of refractory CS after OHCA due to an AMI. Conclusion. The available intensive care and newly developed CS scores offered only a moderate prognostic accuracy for outcomes in OHCA patients with refractory CS due to an AMI treated with Impella. A new score is needed in order to guide the therapy in these patients.
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spelling doaj-art-fb582558d3f343cd9e18109740413cdc2025-02-03T05:52:30ZengWileyJournal of Interventional Cardiology0896-43271540-81832021-01-01202110.1155/2021/88439358843935Comparison of Mortality Risk Models in Patients with Postcardiac Arrest Cardiogenic Shock and Percutaneous Mechanical Circulatory SupportGeorgios Chatzis0Birgit Markus1Styliani Syntila2Christian Waechter3Ulrich Luesebrink4Holger Ahrens5Dimitar Divchev6Bernhard Schieffer7Konstantinos Karatolios8Department of Cardiology, Angiology and Intensive Care, Philipps University Marburg, Marburg, GermanyDepartment of Cardiology, Angiology and Intensive Care, Philipps University Marburg, Marburg, GermanyDepartment of Cardiology, Angiology and Intensive Care, Philipps University Marburg, Marburg, GermanyDepartment of Cardiology, Angiology and Intensive Care, Philipps University Marburg, Marburg, GermanyDepartment of Cardiology, Angiology and Intensive Care, Philipps University Marburg, Marburg, GermanyDepartment of Cardiology, Angiology and Intensive Care, Philipps University Marburg, Marburg, GermanyDepartment of Cardiology, Angiology and Intensive Care, Philipps University Marburg, Marburg, GermanyDepartment of Cardiology, Angiology and Intensive Care, Philipps University Marburg, Marburg, GermanyDepartment of Cardiology, Angiology and Intensive Care, Philipps University Marburg, Marburg, GermanyBackground. Although scoring systems are widely used to predict outcomes in postcardiac arrest cardiogenic shock (CS) after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) complicating acute myocardial infarction (AMI), data concerning the accuracy of these scores to predict mortality of patients treated with Impella in this setting are lacking. Thus, we aimed to evaluate as well as to compare the prognostic accuracy of acute physiology and chronic health II (APACHE II), simplified acute physiology score II (SAPS II), sepsis-related organ failure assessment (SOFA), the intra-aortic balloon pump (IABP), CardShock, the prediction of cardiogenic shock outcome for AMI patients salvaged by VA-ECMO (ENCOURAGE), and the survival after venoarterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (SAVE) score in patients with OHCA refractory CS due to an AMI treated with Impella 2.5 or CP. Methods. Retrospective study of 65 consecutive Impella 2.5 and 32 CP patients treated in our cardiac arrest center from September 2015 until June 2020. Results. Overall survival to discharge was 44.3%. The expected mortality according to scores was SOFA 70%, SAPS II 90%, IABP shock 55%, CardShock 80%, APACHE II 85%, ENCOURAGE 50%, and SAVE score 70% in the 2.5 group; SOFA 70%, SAPS II 85%, IABP shock 55%, CardShock 80%, APACHE II 85%, ENCOURAGE 75%, and SAVE score 70% in the CP group. The ENCOURAGE score was the most effective predictive model of mortality outcome presenting a moderate area under the curve (AUC) of 0.79, followed by the CardShock, APACHE II, IABP, and SAPS score. These derived an AUC between 0.71 and 0.78. The SOFA and the SAVE scores failed to predict the outcome in this particular setting of refractory CS after OHCA due to an AMI. Conclusion. The available intensive care and newly developed CS scores offered only a moderate prognostic accuracy for outcomes in OHCA patients with refractory CS due to an AMI treated with Impella. A new score is needed in order to guide the therapy in these patients.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/8843935
spellingShingle Georgios Chatzis
Birgit Markus
Styliani Syntila
Christian Waechter
Ulrich Luesebrink
Holger Ahrens
Dimitar Divchev
Bernhard Schieffer
Konstantinos Karatolios
Comparison of Mortality Risk Models in Patients with Postcardiac Arrest Cardiogenic Shock and Percutaneous Mechanical Circulatory Support
Journal of Interventional Cardiology
title Comparison of Mortality Risk Models in Patients with Postcardiac Arrest Cardiogenic Shock and Percutaneous Mechanical Circulatory Support
title_full Comparison of Mortality Risk Models in Patients with Postcardiac Arrest Cardiogenic Shock and Percutaneous Mechanical Circulatory Support
title_fullStr Comparison of Mortality Risk Models in Patients with Postcardiac Arrest Cardiogenic Shock and Percutaneous Mechanical Circulatory Support
title_full_unstemmed Comparison of Mortality Risk Models in Patients with Postcardiac Arrest Cardiogenic Shock and Percutaneous Mechanical Circulatory Support
title_short Comparison of Mortality Risk Models in Patients with Postcardiac Arrest Cardiogenic Shock and Percutaneous Mechanical Circulatory Support
title_sort comparison of mortality risk models in patients with postcardiac arrest cardiogenic shock and percutaneous mechanical circulatory support
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/8843935
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