Optimization and Analysis of Central bank Losses for Oil Exporting Economy, Application of DSGE Model (Case study of Iranian Economy)

One of the most important macroeconomic challenges has always been creating and implementing an economic policy, and it continues to be a key element of planner's decisions. The importance of the time difference between the design process of a policy and the time of its implementation is import...

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Main Authors: Marzieh Asadi Asad Abad, Seyyed Abbas Najafizadeh, Baytollh Akbari Moghaddam
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Iranian Association for Energy Economics 2022-02-01
Series:Environmental Energy and Economic Research
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.eeer.ir/article_138804_6eb83d52ad7f11041b2e0e6a5e344124.pdf
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author Marzieh Asadi Asad Abad
Seyyed Abbas Najafizadeh
Baytollh Akbari Moghaddam
author_facet Marzieh Asadi Asad Abad
Seyyed Abbas Najafizadeh
Baytollh Akbari Moghaddam
author_sort Marzieh Asadi Asad Abad
collection DOAJ
description One of the most important macroeconomic challenges has always been creating and implementing an economic policy, and it continues to be a key element of planner's decisions. The importance of the time difference between the design process of a policy and the time of its implementation is important in the decision-making process of the economic planner because if the designed policy changes for various reasons during the implementation stage, the policymaker will be forced to revise the original design. This study emphasizes the teachings of New Keynesian economics school by designing a stochastic dynamic general equilibrium model appropriate to the situation in the country, which looks at household, oil, non-oil, import, final producer, and government sectors, after performing linearization process reviews and evaluating the optimal monetary policy, plus considering the central bank's losses. By adopting the optimal discretionary and Ramsey monetary policy approaches, relying on the importance of the weight of inflation, the results show that the understudy variables (non-oil real GDP, GDP, consumption, and inflation) would experience higher volatility in the case of adopting the discretionary policy. Therefore, the Ramsey monetary policy is a better option to control inflation volatility. Nevertheless, the present study findings on the losses by the central bank indicates less loss in the case of adopting optimal Ramsey policy compared to the discretionary policy.
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institution Kabale University
issn 2538-4988
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language English
publishDate 2022-02-01
publisher Iranian Association for Energy Economics
record_format Article
series Environmental Energy and Economic Research
spelling doaj-art-fa31d53f65af4cc2bef30e2a331f95f12025-08-20T03:29:15ZengIranian Association for Energy EconomicsEnvironmental Energy and Economic Research2538-49882676-49972022-02-016111410.22097/eeer.2021.295841.1208138804Optimization and Analysis of Central bank Losses for Oil Exporting Economy, Application of DSGE Model (Case study of Iranian Economy)Marzieh Asadi Asad Abad0Seyyed Abbas Najafizadeh1Baytollh Akbari Moghaddam2Faculty of Management, Arak Branch, Islamic Azad University, Arak, IranFaculty of Management, Arak Branch, Islamic Azad University, Arak, IranQazvin Branch, Islamic Azad University, Qazvin, IranOne of the most important macroeconomic challenges has always been creating and implementing an economic policy, and it continues to be a key element of planner's decisions. The importance of the time difference between the design process of a policy and the time of its implementation is important in the decision-making process of the economic planner because if the designed policy changes for various reasons during the implementation stage, the policymaker will be forced to revise the original design. This study emphasizes the teachings of New Keynesian economics school by designing a stochastic dynamic general equilibrium model appropriate to the situation in the country, which looks at household, oil, non-oil, import, final producer, and government sectors, after performing linearization process reviews and evaluating the optimal monetary policy, plus considering the central bank's losses. By adopting the optimal discretionary and Ramsey monetary policy approaches, relying on the importance of the weight of inflation, the results show that the understudy variables (non-oil real GDP, GDP, consumption, and inflation) would experience higher volatility in the case of adopting the discretionary policy. Therefore, the Ramsey monetary policy is a better option to control inflation volatility. Nevertheless, the present study findings on the losses by the central bank indicates less loss in the case of adopting optimal Ramsey policy compared to the discretionary policy.https://www.eeer.ir/article_138804_6eb83d52ad7f11041b2e0e6a5e344124.pdfoptimal monetary policycentral bank loss amountdynamic stochastic general equilibrium model (dsge)
spellingShingle Marzieh Asadi Asad Abad
Seyyed Abbas Najafizadeh
Baytollh Akbari Moghaddam
Optimization and Analysis of Central bank Losses for Oil Exporting Economy, Application of DSGE Model (Case study of Iranian Economy)
Environmental Energy and Economic Research
optimal monetary policy
central bank loss amount
dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model (dsge)
title Optimization and Analysis of Central bank Losses for Oil Exporting Economy, Application of DSGE Model (Case study of Iranian Economy)
title_full Optimization and Analysis of Central bank Losses for Oil Exporting Economy, Application of DSGE Model (Case study of Iranian Economy)
title_fullStr Optimization and Analysis of Central bank Losses for Oil Exporting Economy, Application of DSGE Model (Case study of Iranian Economy)
title_full_unstemmed Optimization and Analysis of Central bank Losses for Oil Exporting Economy, Application of DSGE Model (Case study of Iranian Economy)
title_short Optimization and Analysis of Central bank Losses for Oil Exporting Economy, Application of DSGE Model (Case study of Iranian Economy)
title_sort optimization and analysis of central bank losses for oil exporting economy application of dsge model case study of iranian economy
topic optimal monetary policy
central bank loss amount
dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model (dsge)
url https://www.eeer.ir/article_138804_6eb83d52ad7f11041b2e0e6a5e344124.pdf
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