Risk assessment to Barents Sea ecosystem services: an expert-based approach

This study aims to investigate the risks posed by climate change and anthropogenic activities on ecosystem services in the Barents Sea, Norway. Using an expert assessment approach, we identify which ecosystem services are at high risk and the human activities and pressures contributing to these risk...

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Main Authors: Thuy Thi Thanh Pham, Claire W. Armstrong, Hiroko Kato Solvang, Mette Skern-Mauritzen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2025-02-01
Series:Frontiers in Marine Science
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmars.2025.1493592/full
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author Thuy Thi Thanh Pham
Claire W. Armstrong
Hiroko Kato Solvang
Mette Skern-Mauritzen
author_facet Thuy Thi Thanh Pham
Claire W. Armstrong
Hiroko Kato Solvang
Mette Skern-Mauritzen
author_sort Thuy Thi Thanh Pham
collection DOAJ
description This study aims to investigate the risks posed by climate change and anthropogenic activities on ecosystem services in the Barents Sea, Norway. Using an expert assessment approach, we identify which ecosystem services are at high risk and the human activities and pressures contributing to these risks. The findings indicate that risks vary across ecosystem services, activities, and pressures; however, most are categorized as medium or low. Biodiversity, as a cultural service, and fish/shellfish, as a provisioning service, are identified as the two most threatened ecosystem services. In contrast, educational services are perceived as the least impacted. Temperature change is found to have the greatest impact on the services. Experts are generally uncertain about the risk levels; however, fish/shellfish and biodiversity are the two services associated with the least uncertainty. The results highlight the limited knowledge regarding risks to ecosystem services in the Barents Sea. The study emphasizes the need for future research to address these knowledge gaps and discusses where management efforts should be focused.
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publishDate 2025-02-01
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series Frontiers in Marine Science
spelling doaj-art-f9311a53bd49452faf1eecaa2873bb0f2025-02-05T05:17:43ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Marine Science2296-77452025-02-011210.3389/fmars.2025.14935921493592Risk assessment to Barents Sea ecosystem services: an expert-based approachThuy Thi Thanh Pham0Claire W. Armstrong1Hiroko Kato Solvang2Mette Skern-Mauritzen3Norwegian College of Fishery Science, UiT – The Arctic University of Norway, Tromsø, NorwayNorwegian College of Fishery Science, UiT – The Arctic University of Norway, Tromsø, NorwayMarine Mammal Group, Institute of Marine Research, Bergen, NorwayEcosystem Process Group, Institute of Marine Research, Bergen, NorwayThis study aims to investigate the risks posed by climate change and anthropogenic activities on ecosystem services in the Barents Sea, Norway. Using an expert assessment approach, we identify which ecosystem services are at high risk and the human activities and pressures contributing to these risks. The findings indicate that risks vary across ecosystem services, activities, and pressures; however, most are categorized as medium or low. Biodiversity, as a cultural service, and fish/shellfish, as a provisioning service, are identified as the two most threatened ecosystem services. In contrast, educational services are perceived as the least impacted. Temperature change is found to have the greatest impact on the services. Experts are generally uncertain about the risk levels; however, fish/shellfish and biodiversity are the two services associated with the least uncertainty. The results highlight the limited knowledge regarding risks to ecosystem services in the Barents Sea. The study emphasizes the need for future research to address these knowledge gaps and discusses where management efforts should be focused.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmars.2025.1493592/fullBarents Seacertaintyecosystem servicesexpertrisk assessment
spellingShingle Thuy Thi Thanh Pham
Claire W. Armstrong
Hiroko Kato Solvang
Mette Skern-Mauritzen
Risk assessment to Barents Sea ecosystem services: an expert-based approach
Frontiers in Marine Science
Barents Sea
certainty
ecosystem services
expert
risk assessment
title Risk assessment to Barents Sea ecosystem services: an expert-based approach
title_full Risk assessment to Barents Sea ecosystem services: an expert-based approach
title_fullStr Risk assessment to Barents Sea ecosystem services: an expert-based approach
title_full_unstemmed Risk assessment to Barents Sea ecosystem services: an expert-based approach
title_short Risk assessment to Barents Sea ecosystem services: an expert-based approach
title_sort risk assessment to barents sea ecosystem services an expert based approach
topic Barents Sea
certainty
ecosystem services
expert
risk assessment
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmars.2025.1493592/full
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AT hirokokatosolvang riskassessmenttobarentsseaecosystemservicesanexpertbasedapproach
AT metteskernmauritzen riskassessmenttobarentsseaecosystemservicesanexpertbasedapproach