The integration of explainable AI in Educational Data Mining for student academic performance prediction and support system

The academic performance of students is important because it is a crucial indicator of their educational life. The absence of prior experience, guidelines, and social and personal factors can contribute to unforeseen issues that adversely impact a student’s academic performance. An Artificial Intell...

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Main Authors: Md. Mahmudul Islam, Farhad Hossain Sojib, Md. Fazle Hasan Mihad, Mahmudul Hasan, Mahfujur Rahman
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-06-01
Series:Telematics and Informatics Reports
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Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2772503025000180
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author Md. Mahmudul Islam
Farhad Hossain Sojib
Md. Fazle Hasan Mihad
Mahmudul Hasan
Mahfujur Rahman
author_facet Md. Mahmudul Islam
Farhad Hossain Sojib
Md. Fazle Hasan Mihad
Mahmudul Hasan
Mahfujur Rahman
author_sort Md. Mahmudul Islam
collection DOAJ
description The academic performance of students is important because it is a crucial indicator of their educational life. The absence of prior experience, guidelines, and social and personal factors can contribute to unforeseen issues that adversely impact a student’s academic performance. An Artificial Intelligence (AI)-driven Educational Data Mining (EDM) system can serve as a solution in this regard. In this study, we proposed an EDM system that integrates machine learning to classify student academic performance and explainable AI techniques for explainability. We utilize standard ML models such as Decision Tree and Random Forest, and Boosting models such as Gradient Boosting and Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGB) for multiclass classification, and SHAP, Shapash, Eli5, and LIME as XAI techniques for both global and local explainability. For the student’s academic performance classification task, the XGB model outperforms other models and achieved 83% accuracy. The analysis indicates that the evaluations of the curricula, courses, and economic variables of different semesters greatly impact the student’s academic performances. To provide proper direction to students, we also developed a support system that uses the trained model from our analysis and provides recommendations and suggestions based on the input data. The further study integrates real-time data and mobile applications for the support system.
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spelling doaj-art-f8595ff97ea747c89cf63d3974933e272025-08-20T02:16:09ZengElsevierTelematics and Informatics Reports2772-50302025-06-011810020310.1016/j.teler.2025.100203The integration of explainable AI in Educational Data Mining for student academic performance prediction and support systemMd. Mahmudul Islam0Farhad Hossain Sojib1Md. Fazle Hasan Mihad2Mahmudul Hasan3Mahfujur Rahman4Department of Electronics and Communication Engineering, Hajee Mohammad Danesh Science and Technology University, Dinajpur-5200, BangladeshDepartment of Electronics and Communication Engineering, Hajee Mohammad Danesh Science and Technology University, Dinajpur-5200, BangladeshDepartment of Electronics and Communication Engineering, Hajee Mohammad Danesh Science and Technology University, Dinajpur-5200, BangladeshDepartment of Computer Science and Engineering, Hajee Mohammad Danesh Science and Technology University, Dinajpur-5200, BangladeshDepartment of Electronics and Communication Engineering, Hajee Mohammad Danesh Science and Technology University, Dinajpur-5200, Bangladesh; Corresponding author.The academic performance of students is important because it is a crucial indicator of their educational life. The absence of prior experience, guidelines, and social and personal factors can contribute to unforeseen issues that adversely impact a student’s academic performance. An Artificial Intelligence (AI)-driven Educational Data Mining (EDM) system can serve as a solution in this regard. In this study, we proposed an EDM system that integrates machine learning to classify student academic performance and explainable AI techniques for explainability. We utilize standard ML models such as Decision Tree and Random Forest, and Boosting models such as Gradient Boosting and Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGB) for multiclass classification, and SHAP, Shapash, Eli5, and LIME as XAI techniques for both global and local explainability. For the student’s academic performance classification task, the XGB model outperforms other models and achieved 83% accuracy. The analysis indicates that the evaluations of the curricula, courses, and economic variables of different semesters greatly impact the student’s academic performances. To provide proper direction to students, we also developed a support system that uses the trained model from our analysis and provides recommendations and suggestions based on the input data. The further study integrates real-time data and mobile applications for the support system.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2772503025000180Student academic performanceUndergrad student academic performanceMachine learningExplainable AI
spellingShingle Md. Mahmudul Islam
Farhad Hossain Sojib
Md. Fazle Hasan Mihad
Mahmudul Hasan
Mahfujur Rahman
The integration of explainable AI in Educational Data Mining for student academic performance prediction and support system
Telematics and Informatics Reports
Student academic performance
Undergrad student academic performance
Machine learning
Explainable AI
title The integration of explainable AI in Educational Data Mining for student academic performance prediction and support system
title_full The integration of explainable AI in Educational Data Mining for student academic performance prediction and support system
title_fullStr The integration of explainable AI in Educational Data Mining for student academic performance prediction and support system
title_full_unstemmed The integration of explainable AI in Educational Data Mining for student academic performance prediction and support system
title_short The integration of explainable AI in Educational Data Mining for student academic performance prediction and support system
title_sort integration of explainable ai in educational data mining for student academic performance prediction and support system
topic Student academic performance
Undergrad student academic performance
Machine learning
Explainable AI
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2772503025000180
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