Impacts of Future Climate Changes on Shifting Patterns of the Agro-Ecological Zones in China

An agroecological zone (AEZ) is a land resource mapping unit, defined in terms of climate, landform, and soils, and has a specific range of potentials and constraints for cropping (FAO, 1996). The shifting patterns of AEZs in China driven by future climatic changes were assessed by applying the agro...

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Main Authors: Yingzhi Lin, Anping Liu, Enjun Ma, Fan Zhang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2013-01-01
Series:Advances in Meteorology
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/163248
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author Yingzhi Lin
Anping Liu
Enjun Ma
Fan Zhang
author_facet Yingzhi Lin
Anping Liu
Enjun Ma
Fan Zhang
author_sort Yingzhi Lin
collection DOAJ
description An agroecological zone (AEZ) is a land resource mapping unit, defined in terms of climate, landform, and soils, and has a specific range of potentials and constraints for cropping (FAO, 1996). The shifting patterns of AEZs in China driven by future climatic changes were assessed by applying the agroecological zoning methodology proposed by International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) and Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) in this study. A data processing scheme was proposed in this study to reduce systematic errors in projected climate data using observed data from meteorological stations. AEZs in China of each of the four periods: 2011–2020, 2021–2030, 2031–2040, and 2041–2050 were drawn. It is found that the future climate change will lead to significant local changes of AEZs in China and the overall pattern of AEZs in China is stable. The shifting patterns of AEZs will be characterized by northward expansion of humid AEZs to subhumid AEZs in south China, eastward expansion of arid AEZs to dry and moist semiarid AEZs in north China, and southward expansion of dry semiarid AEZs to arid AEZs in southwest China.
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spelling doaj-art-f7e48a6b1296417f83dcbeb0042596552025-02-03T01:02:45ZengWileyAdvances in Meteorology1687-93091687-93172013-01-01201310.1155/2013/163248163248Impacts of Future Climate Changes on Shifting Patterns of the Agro-Ecological Zones in ChinaYingzhi Lin0Anping Liu1Enjun Ma2Fan Zhang3School of Mathematics and Physics, China University of Geosciences (Wuhan), Wuhan 430074, ChinaSchool of Mathematics and Physics, China University of Geosciences (Wuhan), Wuhan 430074, ChinaSchool of Mathematics and Physics, China University of Geosciences (Wuhan), Wuhan 430074, ChinaSchool of Mathematics and Physics, China University of Geosciences (Wuhan), Wuhan 430074, ChinaAn agroecological zone (AEZ) is a land resource mapping unit, defined in terms of climate, landform, and soils, and has a specific range of potentials and constraints for cropping (FAO, 1996). The shifting patterns of AEZs in China driven by future climatic changes were assessed by applying the agroecological zoning methodology proposed by International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) and Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) in this study. A data processing scheme was proposed in this study to reduce systematic errors in projected climate data using observed data from meteorological stations. AEZs in China of each of the four periods: 2011–2020, 2021–2030, 2031–2040, and 2041–2050 were drawn. It is found that the future climate change will lead to significant local changes of AEZs in China and the overall pattern of AEZs in China is stable. The shifting patterns of AEZs will be characterized by northward expansion of humid AEZs to subhumid AEZs in south China, eastward expansion of arid AEZs to dry and moist semiarid AEZs in north China, and southward expansion of dry semiarid AEZs to arid AEZs in southwest China.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/163248
spellingShingle Yingzhi Lin
Anping Liu
Enjun Ma
Fan Zhang
Impacts of Future Climate Changes on Shifting Patterns of the Agro-Ecological Zones in China
Advances in Meteorology
title Impacts of Future Climate Changes on Shifting Patterns of the Agro-Ecological Zones in China
title_full Impacts of Future Climate Changes on Shifting Patterns of the Agro-Ecological Zones in China
title_fullStr Impacts of Future Climate Changes on Shifting Patterns of the Agro-Ecological Zones in China
title_full_unstemmed Impacts of Future Climate Changes on Shifting Patterns of the Agro-Ecological Zones in China
title_short Impacts of Future Climate Changes on Shifting Patterns of the Agro-Ecological Zones in China
title_sort impacts of future climate changes on shifting patterns of the agro ecological zones in china
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/163248
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AT fanzhang impactsoffutureclimatechangesonshiftingpatternsoftheagroecologicalzonesinchina