Metabolic Syndrome Prediction Using Machine Learning Models with Genetic and Clinical Information from a Nonobese Healthy Population

The prevalence of metabolic syndrome (MS) in the nonobese population is not low. However, the identification and risk mitigation of MS are not easy in this population. We aimed to develop an MS prediction model using genetic and clinical factors of nonobese Koreans through machine learning methods....

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Main Authors: Eun Kyung Choe, Hwanseok Rhee, Seungjae Lee, Eunsoon Shin, Seung-Won Oh, Jong-Eun Lee, Seung Ho Choi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BioMed Central 2018-12-01
Series:Genomics & Informatics
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Online Access:http://genominfo.org/upload/pdf/gi-2018-16-4-e31.pdf
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author Eun Kyung Choe
Hwanseok Rhee
Seungjae Lee
Eunsoon Shin
Seung-Won Oh
Jong-Eun Lee
Seung Ho Choi
author_facet Eun Kyung Choe
Hwanseok Rhee
Seungjae Lee
Eunsoon Shin
Seung-Won Oh
Jong-Eun Lee
Seung Ho Choi
author_sort Eun Kyung Choe
collection DOAJ
description The prevalence of metabolic syndrome (MS) in the nonobese population is not low. However, the identification and risk mitigation of MS are not easy in this population. We aimed to develop an MS prediction model using genetic and clinical factors of nonobese Koreans through machine learning methods. A prediction model for MS was designed for a nonobese population using clinical and genetic polymorphism information with five machine learning algorithms, including naïve Bayes classification (NB). The analysis was performed in two stages (training and test sets). Model A was designed with only clinical information (age, sex, body mass index, smoking status, alcohol consumption status, and exercise status), and for model B, genetic information (for 10 polymorphisms) was added to model A. Of the 7,502 nonobese participants, 647 (8.6%) had MS. In the test set analysis, for the maximum sensitivity criterion, NB showed the highest sensitivity: 0.38 for model A and 0.42 for model B. The specificity of NB was 0.79 for model A and 0.80 for model B. In a comparison of the performances of models A and B by NB, model B (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUC] = 0.69, clinical and genetic information input) showed better performance than model A (AUC = 0.65, clinical information only input). We designed a prediction model for MS in a nonobese population using clinical and genetic information. With this model, we might convince nonobese MS individuals to undergo health checks and adopt behaviors associated with a preventive lifestyle.
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spelling doaj-art-f79861b828444de09bece08aaed701412025-02-02T12:55:46ZengBioMed CentralGenomics & Informatics2234-07422018-12-0116410.5808/GI.2018.16.4.e31533Metabolic Syndrome Prediction Using Machine Learning Models with Genetic and Clinical Information from a Nonobese Healthy PopulationEun Kyung Choe0Hwanseok Rhee1Seungjae Lee2Eunsoon Shin3Seung-Won Oh4Jong-Eun Lee5Seung Ho Choi6 Department of Surgery, Seoul National University Hospital, Healthcare System Gangnam Center, Seoul 06236, Korea DNALink, Inc., Seoul 03759, Korea DNALink, Inc., Seoul 03759, Korea DNALink, Inc., Seoul 03759, Korea Department of Family Medicine, Seoul National University Hospital, Healthcare System Gangnam Center, Seoul 06236, Korea DNALink, Inc., Seoul 03759, Korea Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University Hospital, Healthcare System Gangnam Center, Seoul 06236, KoreaThe prevalence of metabolic syndrome (MS) in the nonobese population is not low. However, the identification and risk mitigation of MS are not easy in this population. We aimed to develop an MS prediction model using genetic and clinical factors of nonobese Koreans through machine learning methods. A prediction model for MS was designed for a nonobese population using clinical and genetic polymorphism information with five machine learning algorithms, including naïve Bayes classification (NB). The analysis was performed in two stages (training and test sets). Model A was designed with only clinical information (age, sex, body mass index, smoking status, alcohol consumption status, and exercise status), and for model B, genetic information (for 10 polymorphisms) was added to model A. Of the 7,502 nonobese participants, 647 (8.6%) had MS. In the test set analysis, for the maximum sensitivity criterion, NB showed the highest sensitivity: 0.38 for model A and 0.42 for model B. The specificity of NB was 0.79 for model A and 0.80 for model B. In a comparison of the performances of models A and B by NB, model B (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUC] = 0.69, clinical and genetic information input) showed better performance than model A (AUC = 0.65, clinical information only input). We designed a prediction model for MS in a nonobese population using clinical and genetic information. With this model, we might convince nonobese MS individuals to undergo health checks and adopt behaviors associated with a preventive lifestyle.http://genominfo.org/upload/pdf/gi-2018-16-4-e31.pdfgenetic polymorphismmachine learningmetabolic syndrome
spellingShingle Eun Kyung Choe
Hwanseok Rhee
Seungjae Lee
Eunsoon Shin
Seung-Won Oh
Jong-Eun Lee
Seung Ho Choi
Metabolic Syndrome Prediction Using Machine Learning Models with Genetic and Clinical Information from a Nonobese Healthy Population
Genomics & Informatics
genetic polymorphism
machine learning
metabolic syndrome
title Metabolic Syndrome Prediction Using Machine Learning Models with Genetic and Clinical Information from a Nonobese Healthy Population
title_full Metabolic Syndrome Prediction Using Machine Learning Models with Genetic and Clinical Information from a Nonobese Healthy Population
title_fullStr Metabolic Syndrome Prediction Using Machine Learning Models with Genetic and Clinical Information from a Nonobese Healthy Population
title_full_unstemmed Metabolic Syndrome Prediction Using Machine Learning Models with Genetic and Clinical Information from a Nonobese Healthy Population
title_short Metabolic Syndrome Prediction Using Machine Learning Models with Genetic and Clinical Information from a Nonobese Healthy Population
title_sort metabolic syndrome prediction using machine learning models with genetic and clinical information from a nonobese healthy population
topic genetic polymorphism
machine learning
metabolic syndrome
url http://genominfo.org/upload/pdf/gi-2018-16-4-e31.pdf
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