Does Türkiye Have a Demographic Dividend? NUTS 2 Analysis

As the population in Turkey continues to age, the share of the working-age population in the total population has also started to decline. However, the fact that the share of the working-age population is at most 2/3 while the country's population is ageing may occur a demographic window of opp...

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Main Authors: Seda Ertürk, Selçuk Koç
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Sivas Cumhuriyet Üniversitesi 2025-01-01
Series:Cumhuriyet Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi
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Online Access:https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/download/article-file/4259599
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author Seda Ertürk
Selçuk Koç
author_facet Seda Ertürk
Selçuk Koç
author_sort Seda Ertürk
collection DOAJ
description As the population in Turkey continues to age, the share of the working-age population in the total population has also started to decline. However, the fact that the share of the working-age population is at most 2/3 while the country's population is ageing may occur a demographic window of opportunity and a demographic dividend for economic growth. In this study, the demographic dividend for 2023-2050 in NUTS 2 regions of Turkey with different fertility rates is calculated by projection analysis. According to the results of the study, it is estimated that Turkey entered the demographic dividend process in 2023 and may peak in 2036-2037. This trend is expected to persist until 2050. An analysis of NUTS 2 regions suggests that certain areas, such as TR31 (İzmir) and TR62 (Adana-Mersin), are projected to achieve the highest demographic dividend. This trend is expected to persist until 2050. An analysis of NUTS 2 regions suggests that certain areas, such as TR31 (İzmir) and TR62 (Adana-Mersin), are projected to achieve the highest demographic dividend. This trend is expected to persist until 2050. An analysis of NUTS 2 regions suggests that certain areas, such as TR31 (İzmir) and TR62 (Adana-Mersin), are projected to achieve the highest demographic dividend.
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spelling doaj-art-f730cb9b35584d94bddcc99a01dcd3e22025-02-02T14:34:25ZengSivas Cumhuriyet ÜniversitesiCumhuriyet Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi1303-12792025-01-0126115616610.37880/cumuiibf.15603822057Does Türkiye Have a Demographic Dividend? NUTS 2 AnalysisSeda Ertürk0https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5505-8750Selçuk Koç1https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7451-2699KOCAELİ ÜNİVERSİTESİKOCAELİ ÜNİVERSİTESİAs the population in Turkey continues to age, the share of the working-age population in the total population has also started to decline. However, the fact that the share of the working-age population is at most 2/3 while the country's population is ageing may occur a demographic window of opportunity and a demographic dividend for economic growth. In this study, the demographic dividend for 2023-2050 in NUTS 2 regions of Turkey with different fertility rates is calculated by projection analysis. According to the results of the study, it is estimated that Turkey entered the demographic dividend process in 2023 and may peak in 2036-2037. This trend is expected to persist until 2050. An analysis of NUTS 2 regions suggests that certain areas, such as TR31 (İzmir) and TR62 (Adana-Mersin), are projected to achieve the highest demographic dividend. This trend is expected to persist until 2050. An analysis of NUTS 2 regions suggests that certain areas, such as TR31 (İzmir) and TR62 (Adana-Mersin), are projected to achieve the highest demographic dividend. This trend is expected to persist until 2050. An analysis of NUTS 2 regions suggests that certain areas, such as TR31 (İzmir) and TR62 (Adana-Mersin), are projected to achieve the highest demographic dividend.https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/download/article-file/4259599demographic dividenddemographic window of opportunitypopulation ageingdemographic dividenddemographic window of opportunitypopulation ageing
spellingShingle Seda Ertürk
Selçuk Koç
Does Türkiye Have a Demographic Dividend? NUTS 2 Analysis
Cumhuriyet Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi
demographic dividend
demographic window of opportunity
population ageing
demographic dividend
demographic window of opportunity
population ageing
title Does Türkiye Have a Demographic Dividend? NUTS 2 Analysis
title_full Does Türkiye Have a Demographic Dividend? NUTS 2 Analysis
title_fullStr Does Türkiye Have a Demographic Dividend? NUTS 2 Analysis
title_full_unstemmed Does Türkiye Have a Demographic Dividend? NUTS 2 Analysis
title_short Does Türkiye Have a Demographic Dividend? NUTS 2 Analysis
title_sort does turkiye have a demographic dividend nuts 2 analysis
topic demographic dividend
demographic window of opportunity
population ageing
demographic dividend
demographic window of opportunity
population ageing
url https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/download/article-file/4259599
work_keys_str_mv AT sedaerturk doesturkiyehaveademographicdividendnuts2analysis
AT selcukkoc doesturkiyehaveademographicdividendnuts2analysis