Exchange Rate Risk Analysis Based on Firm Data: A Global Value Chain Perspective

This paper investigates whether firms’ participation in the global value chain (GVC) weakens the exchange rate risk and its mechanism. Based on Powers and Riker’s (2013) expanding exchange rate risk model, this paper matches data from China’s refined input-output table, the customs database, and the...

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Main Authors: Mimi Ning, Jianhong Qi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2020-01-01
Series:Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/5096720
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author Mimi Ning
Jianhong Qi
author_facet Mimi Ning
Jianhong Qi
author_sort Mimi Ning
collection DOAJ
description This paper investigates whether firms’ participation in the global value chain (GVC) weakens the exchange rate risk and its mechanism. Based on Powers and Riker’s (2013) expanding exchange rate risk model, this paper matches data from China’s refined input-output table, the customs database, and the industrial enterprise database from 2002 to 2009 to measure the firms’ GVC forward linkages and backward linkages and therefore empirically tests the relationship between participation in the GVC and the exchange rate risk. The results show that participation in the GVC reduces firms’ exchange rate risk through a “comovement effect” for forward linkages and a “hedging effect” for backward linkages; differences in a firm’s position in the GVC affect the extent of reduction in the exchange rate risk. Encouraging firms to participate in the GVC and strengthening GVC relationship with high-income countries in particular play an important role in minimizing the exchange rate risk.
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institution Kabale University
issn 1026-0226
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language English
publishDate 2020-01-01
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series Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
spelling doaj-art-f7218ebd86714d679649378d172a15c32025-02-03T01:27:56ZengWileyDiscrete Dynamics in Nature and Society1026-02261607-887X2020-01-01202010.1155/2020/50967205096720Exchange Rate Risk Analysis Based on Firm Data: A Global Value Chain PerspectiveMimi Ning0Jianhong Qi1Economics Department, Shandong University, Jinan, Shandong 250100, ChinaEconomics Department, Shandong University, Jinan, Shandong 250100, ChinaThis paper investigates whether firms’ participation in the global value chain (GVC) weakens the exchange rate risk and its mechanism. Based on Powers and Riker’s (2013) expanding exchange rate risk model, this paper matches data from China’s refined input-output table, the customs database, and the industrial enterprise database from 2002 to 2009 to measure the firms’ GVC forward linkages and backward linkages and therefore empirically tests the relationship between participation in the GVC and the exchange rate risk. The results show that participation in the GVC reduces firms’ exchange rate risk through a “comovement effect” for forward linkages and a “hedging effect” for backward linkages; differences in a firm’s position in the GVC affect the extent of reduction in the exchange rate risk. Encouraging firms to participate in the GVC and strengthening GVC relationship with high-income countries in particular play an important role in minimizing the exchange rate risk.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/5096720
spellingShingle Mimi Ning
Jianhong Qi
Exchange Rate Risk Analysis Based on Firm Data: A Global Value Chain Perspective
Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
title Exchange Rate Risk Analysis Based on Firm Data: A Global Value Chain Perspective
title_full Exchange Rate Risk Analysis Based on Firm Data: A Global Value Chain Perspective
title_fullStr Exchange Rate Risk Analysis Based on Firm Data: A Global Value Chain Perspective
title_full_unstemmed Exchange Rate Risk Analysis Based on Firm Data: A Global Value Chain Perspective
title_short Exchange Rate Risk Analysis Based on Firm Data: A Global Value Chain Perspective
title_sort exchange rate risk analysis based on firm data a global value chain perspective
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/5096720
work_keys_str_mv AT mimining exchangerateriskanalysisbasedonfirmdataaglobalvaluechainperspective
AT jianhongqi exchangerateriskanalysisbasedonfirmdataaglobalvaluechainperspective