Trend Analysis of Lake Surface Temperatures in Lake Van

In this study, the change and trend of water surface temperatures of Lake Van has been investigated. For the period of 2016- 2020; NASA-Day, NASA-Night satellite and measurement data obtained from the Turkish State Meteorological Service for 3 stations were compared. In addition, the monthly, the...

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Main Authors: Kebir Emre Saraçoğlu, Fevziye Ayça Saraçoğlu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Artvin Coruh University 2022-07-01
Series:Doğal Afetler ve Çevre Dergisi
Subjects:
Online Access:http://dacd.artvin.edu.tr/tr/download/article-file/2005128
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author Kebir Emre Saraçoğlu
Fevziye Ayça Saraçoğlu
author_facet Kebir Emre Saraçoğlu
Fevziye Ayça Saraçoğlu
author_sort Kebir Emre Saraçoğlu
collection DOAJ
description In this study, the change and trend of water surface temperatures of Lake Van has been investigated. For the period of 2016- 2020; NASA-Day, NASA-Night satellite and measurement data obtained from the Turkish State Meteorological Service for 3 stations were compared. In addition, the monthly, the annual (minimum-average-maximum), the seasonal trend analysis of day and night longterm satellite data (2001-2020) and their significance levels were determined by the Theil-Sen and Innovative Trend Analysis. Measurement data covering for the period of 2016-2020 and NASA-Day, NASA-Night satellite data were highly compatible (R=0,94- 0,99). NASA-Night water surface temperatures were found to be more compatible with measurement data than NASA-Day satellite data. NASA-Day and NASA-Night water surface temperatures covering for the period of 2001-2020 were found to be homogeneous at a 1% significant level. Water surface temperatures tend to increase both in the short and long term. The highest increase in monthly analyses (0,094 °C/year) was determined in June for NASA-Day and in April for NASA-Night (0,104 °C/year). The highest increase in seasonal analyses was seen in night data (0,080-0,099 °C/year) in the spring season. The average increase in long-term annual average water surface temperatures was calculated as 0,043 °C/year. It was concluded that this value is smaller than the increase determined for the Eastern Black Sea (0,11 °C/year), higher than the calculated for the Aegean and Eastern Mediterranean (0,055°C/year), approximately 1,5 times the increase determined for the South Caspian Sea (0,029 ± 0,009 °C /year) and about 4 times the increase (as 0,011 °C/year) for the oceans.
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institution Kabale University
issn 2528-9640
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publishDate 2022-07-01
publisher Artvin Coruh University
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series Doğal Afetler ve Çevre Dergisi
spelling doaj-art-f67d6d7c07a24edea24f333a205ddc532025-02-02T16:55:40ZengArtvin Coruh UniversityDoğal Afetler ve Çevre Dergisi2528-96402022-07-0182221 237https://doi.org/10.21324/dacd.1003496Trend Analysis of Lake Surface Temperatures in Lake VanKebir Emre Saraçoğlu0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0837-9110Fevziye Ayça Saraçoğlu1https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9626-7652 İstanbul Üniversitesi-Cerrahpaşa, Mühendislik Fakültesi, İnşaat Mühendisliği Bölümü, 34320, İstanbulÇanakkale Onsekiz Mart Üniversitesi, Mühendislik Fakültesi, İnşaat Mühendisliği Bölümü, 17020, ÇanakkaleIn this study, the change and trend of water surface temperatures of Lake Van has been investigated. For the period of 2016- 2020; NASA-Day, NASA-Night satellite and measurement data obtained from the Turkish State Meteorological Service for 3 stations were compared. In addition, the monthly, the annual (minimum-average-maximum), the seasonal trend analysis of day and night longterm satellite data (2001-2020) and their significance levels were determined by the Theil-Sen and Innovative Trend Analysis. Measurement data covering for the period of 2016-2020 and NASA-Day, NASA-Night satellite data were highly compatible (R=0,94- 0,99). NASA-Night water surface temperatures were found to be more compatible with measurement data than NASA-Day satellite data. NASA-Day and NASA-Night water surface temperatures covering for the period of 2001-2020 were found to be homogeneous at a 1% significant level. Water surface temperatures tend to increase both in the short and long term. The highest increase in monthly analyses (0,094 °C/year) was determined in June for NASA-Day and in April for NASA-Night (0,104 °C/year). The highest increase in seasonal analyses was seen in night data (0,080-0,099 °C/year) in the spring season. The average increase in long-term annual average water surface temperatures was calculated as 0,043 °C/year. It was concluded that this value is smaller than the increase determined for the Eastern Black Sea (0,11 °C/year), higher than the calculated for the Aegean and Eastern Mediterranean (0,055°C/year), approximately 1,5 times the increase determined for the South Caspian Sea (0,029 ± 0,009 °C /year) and about 4 times the increase (as 0,011 °C/year) for the oceans. http://dacd.artvin.edu.tr/tr/download/article-file/2005128lake vanlake surface temperaturetrend analysishomogeneity
spellingShingle Kebir Emre Saraçoğlu
Fevziye Ayça Saraçoğlu
Trend Analysis of Lake Surface Temperatures in Lake Van
Doğal Afetler ve Çevre Dergisi
lake van
lake surface temperature
trend analysis
homogeneity
title Trend Analysis of Lake Surface Temperatures in Lake Van
title_full Trend Analysis of Lake Surface Temperatures in Lake Van
title_fullStr Trend Analysis of Lake Surface Temperatures in Lake Van
title_full_unstemmed Trend Analysis of Lake Surface Temperatures in Lake Van
title_short Trend Analysis of Lake Surface Temperatures in Lake Van
title_sort trend analysis of lake surface temperatures in lake van
topic lake van
lake surface temperature
trend analysis
homogeneity
url http://dacd.artvin.edu.tr/tr/download/article-file/2005128
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AT fevziyeaycasaracoglu trendanalysisoflakesurfacetemperaturesinlakevan