Probability of rainfall-induced landslides coupled with effective-duration threshold and soil moisture

Study region: Shaanxi Province, including the Loess Plateau in northern Shaanxi, the Guanzhong Plain, and the Qinba Mountains in southern Shaanxi. Study focus: Frequent extreme rainfall exacerbates the risk of rainfall-induced landslides, highlighting the importance of rainfall thresholds quantifica...

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Main Authors: Kailiang Zhao, Haijun Qiu, Ya Liu, Zijing Liu, Wenchao Huangfu, Bingzhe Tang, Dongdong Yang, Guoqing Yang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-02-01
Series:Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies
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Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214581824004610
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author Kailiang Zhao
Haijun Qiu
Ya Liu
Zijing Liu
Wenchao Huangfu
Bingzhe Tang
Dongdong Yang
Guoqing Yang
author_facet Kailiang Zhao
Haijun Qiu
Ya Liu
Zijing Liu
Wenchao Huangfu
Bingzhe Tang
Dongdong Yang
Guoqing Yang
author_sort Kailiang Zhao
collection DOAJ
description Study region: Shaanxi Province, including the Loess Plateau in northern Shaanxi, the Guanzhong Plain, and the Qinba Mountains in southern Shaanxi. Study focus: Frequent extreme rainfall exacerbates the risk of rainfall-induced landslides, highlighting the importance of rainfall thresholds quantification for accurate hazard prevention. New hydrological insights for the region: The rainfall on the day and 7–28 cm soil moisture have a strong impact on landslide occurrences. The effective duration threshold for rainfall-induced landslides is largest in the Qinba Mountains area (high vegetation cover), and the 50 % threshold curve has a better early warning effect. Under high soil moisture and rainfall conditions, the probability for rainfall-induced landslides increases. In contrast, the probability threshold for landslides in areas with high vegetation coverage is also higher. This study quantified the probability thresholds for rainfall-induced landslides based on the coupled effective duration threshold and soil moisture. The results provide a theoretical reference for the precise prevention of landslides.
format Article
id doaj-art-f3695f4c932e407993ae6b49e194a112
institution Kabale University
issn 2214-5818
language English
publishDate 2025-02-01
publisher Elsevier
record_format Article
series Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies
spelling doaj-art-f3695f4c932e407993ae6b49e194a1122025-01-22T05:42:04ZengElsevierJournal of Hydrology: Regional Studies2214-58182025-02-0157102112Probability of rainfall-induced landslides coupled with effective-duration threshold and soil moistureKailiang Zhao0Haijun Qiu1Ya Liu2Zijing Liu3Wenchao Huangfu4Bingzhe Tang5Dongdong Yang6Guoqing Yang7College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Northwest University, Xi’an 710127, China; Institute of Earth Surface System and Hazards, Northwest University, Xi’an 710127, ChinaCollege of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Northwest University, Xi’an 710127, China; Shaanxi Key Laboratory of Earth Surface System and Environmental Carrying Capacity, Northwest University, Xi’an 710127, China; Institute of Earth Surface System and Hazards, Northwest University, Xi’an 710127, China; Corresponding author at: College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Northwest University, Xi’an 710127, China.College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Northwest University, Xi’an 710127, China; Institute of Earth Surface System and Hazards, Northwest University, Xi’an 710127, ChinaCollege of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Northwest University, Xi’an 710127, China; Institute of Earth Surface System and Hazards, Northwest University, Xi’an 710127, ChinaCollege of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Northwest University, Xi’an 710127, China; Institute of Earth Surface System and Hazards, Northwest University, Xi’an 710127, ChinaCollege of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Northwest University, Xi’an 710127, China; Institute of Earth Surface System and Hazards, Northwest University, Xi’an 710127, ChinaCollege of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Northwest University, Xi’an 710127, China; Institute of Earth Surface System and Hazards, Northwest University, Xi’an 710127, ChinaCollege of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Northwest University, Xi’an 710127, China; Institute of Earth Surface System and Hazards, Northwest University, Xi’an 710127, ChinaStudy region: Shaanxi Province, including the Loess Plateau in northern Shaanxi, the Guanzhong Plain, and the Qinba Mountains in southern Shaanxi. Study focus: Frequent extreme rainfall exacerbates the risk of rainfall-induced landslides, highlighting the importance of rainfall thresholds quantification for accurate hazard prevention. New hydrological insights for the region: The rainfall on the day and 7–28 cm soil moisture have a strong impact on landslide occurrences. The effective duration threshold for rainfall-induced landslides is largest in the Qinba Mountains area (high vegetation cover), and the 50 % threshold curve has a better early warning effect. Under high soil moisture and rainfall conditions, the probability for rainfall-induced landslides increases. In contrast, the probability threshold for landslides in areas with high vegetation coverage is also higher. This study quantified the probability thresholds for rainfall-induced landslides based on the coupled effective duration threshold and soil moisture. The results provide a theoretical reference for the precise prevention of landslides.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214581824004610LandslidesProbability thresholdsRainfallSoil moisture
spellingShingle Kailiang Zhao
Haijun Qiu
Ya Liu
Zijing Liu
Wenchao Huangfu
Bingzhe Tang
Dongdong Yang
Guoqing Yang
Probability of rainfall-induced landslides coupled with effective-duration threshold and soil moisture
Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies
Landslides
Probability thresholds
Rainfall
Soil moisture
title Probability of rainfall-induced landslides coupled with effective-duration threshold and soil moisture
title_full Probability of rainfall-induced landslides coupled with effective-duration threshold and soil moisture
title_fullStr Probability of rainfall-induced landslides coupled with effective-duration threshold and soil moisture
title_full_unstemmed Probability of rainfall-induced landslides coupled with effective-duration threshold and soil moisture
title_short Probability of rainfall-induced landslides coupled with effective-duration threshold and soil moisture
title_sort probability of rainfall induced landslides coupled with effective duration threshold and soil moisture
topic Landslides
Probability thresholds
Rainfall
Soil moisture
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214581824004610
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