Copula-based trading of cointegrated cryptocurrency Pairs

Abstract This study introduces a novel pairs trading strategy based on copulas for cointegrated pairs of cryptocurrencies. To identify the most suitable pairs and generate trading signals formulated from a reference asset for analyzing the mispricing index, the study employs linear and nonlinear coi...

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Main Authors: Masood Tadi, Jiří Witzany
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SpringerOpen 2025-01-01
Series:Financial Innovation
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s40854-024-00702-7
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author Masood Tadi
Jiří Witzany
author_facet Masood Tadi
Jiří Witzany
author_sort Masood Tadi
collection DOAJ
description Abstract This study introduces a novel pairs trading strategy based on copulas for cointegrated pairs of cryptocurrencies. To identify the most suitable pairs and generate trading signals formulated from a reference asset for analyzing the mispricing index, the study employs linear and nonlinear cointegration tests, a correlation coefficient measure, and fits different copula families, respectively. The strategy’s performance is then evaluated by conducting back-testing for various triggers of opening positions, assessing its returns and risks. The findings indicate that the proposed method outperforms previously examined trading strategies of pairs based on cointegration or copulas in terms of profitability and risk-adjusted returns.
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institution Kabale University
issn 2199-4730
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spelling doaj-art-f0a83baa547c4a9da8743fc5921fe0e32025-01-19T12:36:04ZengSpringerOpenFinancial Innovation2199-47302025-01-0111113210.1186/s40854-024-00702-7Copula-based trading of cointegrated cryptocurrency PairsMasood Tadi0Jiří Witzany1Department of Probability and Mathematical Statistics Faculty of Mathematics and Physics, Charles University PragueFaculty of Finance and Accounting, Prague University of Economics and Business PragueAbstract This study introduces a novel pairs trading strategy based on copulas for cointegrated pairs of cryptocurrencies. To identify the most suitable pairs and generate trading signals formulated from a reference asset for analyzing the mispricing index, the study employs linear and nonlinear cointegration tests, a correlation coefficient measure, and fits different copula families, respectively. The strategy’s performance is then evaluated by conducting back-testing for various triggers of opening positions, assessing its returns and risks. The findings indicate that the proposed method outperforms previously examined trading strategies of pairs based on cointegration or copulas in terms of profitability and risk-adjusted returns.https://doi.org/10.1186/s40854-024-00702-7Statistical arbitragePairs tradingCointegrationCopulasCryptocurrency market
spellingShingle Masood Tadi
Jiří Witzany
Copula-based trading of cointegrated cryptocurrency Pairs
Financial Innovation
Statistical arbitrage
Pairs trading
Cointegration
Copulas
Cryptocurrency market
title Copula-based trading of cointegrated cryptocurrency Pairs
title_full Copula-based trading of cointegrated cryptocurrency Pairs
title_fullStr Copula-based trading of cointegrated cryptocurrency Pairs
title_full_unstemmed Copula-based trading of cointegrated cryptocurrency Pairs
title_short Copula-based trading of cointegrated cryptocurrency Pairs
title_sort copula based trading of cointegrated cryptocurrency pairs
topic Statistical arbitrage
Pairs trading
Cointegration
Copulas
Cryptocurrency market
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s40854-024-00702-7
work_keys_str_mv AT masoodtadi copulabasedtradingofcointegratedcryptocurrencypairs
AT jiriwitzany copulabasedtradingofcointegratedcryptocurrencypairs