Distribution changes of Ormosia microphylla under different climatic scenarios

Abstract Ormosia microphylla is a nationally prioritized wild plant in China but effects of likely future climate change have been poorly studied. Here distribution data of O. microphylla and environmental data with an optimized MaxEnt maximum entropy model were used to predict potentially suitable...

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Main Authors: Pan Huang, Yaqin Xiao, Yurong Sun, Huihua Huang, Zhiwei Gong, Yingfang Zhu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-01-01
Series:Scientific Reports
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-86524-8
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author Pan Huang
Yaqin Xiao
Yurong Sun
Huihua Huang
Zhiwei Gong
Yingfang Zhu
author_facet Pan Huang
Yaqin Xiao
Yurong Sun
Huihua Huang
Zhiwei Gong
Yingfang Zhu
author_sort Pan Huang
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Ormosia microphylla is a nationally prioritized wild plant in China but effects of likely future climate change have been poorly studied. Here distribution data of O. microphylla and environmental data with an optimized MaxEnt maximum entropy model were used to predict potentially suitable areas under current and future climate scenarios. The results showed that with future climate warming, the total area suitable for O. microphylla might gradually increase. In the three future periods (2030s (2021–2040), 2050s (2041–2060) and 2090s (2081–2100)), the medium and high suitable areas under different climate scenarios generally showed an expanding trend, while the low suitable areas mostly showed a decreasing trend. At the same time, the potential suitable areas for O. microphylla in China have shown a certain degree of migration trend towards higher latitudes in the north and northwest, as well as a trend towards higher altitudes. The research results will provide data support for the protection of germplasm resources and the development of artificial cultivation techniques for O. microphylla, and provide a theoretical basis for the protection of other rare and endangered plants.
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spelling doaj-art-ef9dcb6e6c494b78aae0a3ce908fbb572025-01-26T12:29:24ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222025-01-0115111310.1038/s41598-025-86524-8Distribution changes of Ormosia microphylla under different climatic scenariosPan Huang0Yaqin Xiao1Yurong Sun2Huihua Huang3Zhiwei Gong4Yingfang Zhu5College of Computer and Mathematics, Central South University of Forestry and TechnologyHunan Academy of ForestryCollege of Computer and Mathematics, Central South University of Forestry and TechnologyCollege of Computer and Mathematics, Central South University of Forestry and TechnologyCollege of Computer and Mathematics, Central South University of Forestry and TechnologyCollege of Computer and Mathematics, Central South University of Forestry and TechnologyAbstract Ormosia microphylla is a nationally prioritized wild plant in China but effects of likely future climate change have been poorly studied. Here distribution data of O. microphylla and environmental data with an optimized MaxEnt maximum entropy model were used to predict potentially suitable areas under current and future climate scenarios. The results showed that with future climate warming, the total area suitable for O. microphylla might gradually increase. In the three future periods (2030s (2021–2040), 2050s (2041–2060) and 2090s (2081–2100)), the medium and high suitable areas under different climate scenarios generally showed an expanding trend, while the low suitable areas mostly showed a decreasing trend. At the same time, the potential suitable areas for O. microphylla in China have shown a certain degree of migration trend towards higher latitudes in the north and northwest, as well as a trend towards higher altitudes. The research results will provide data support for the protection of germplasm resources and the development of artificial cultivation techniques for O. microphylla, and provide a theoretical basis for the protection of other rare and endangered plants.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-86524-8Suitable areaClimate changeEnvironmental factorsMaxEnt modelOrmosia microphylla
spellingShingle Pan Huang
Yaqin Xiao
Yurong Sun
Huihua Huang
Zhiwei Gong
Yingfang Zhu
Distribution changes of Ormosia microphylla under different climatic scenarios
Scientific Reports
Suitable area
Climate change
Environmental factors
MaxEnt model
Ormosia microphylla
title Distribution changes of Ormosia microphylla under different climatic scenarios
title_full Distribution changes of Ormosia microphylla under different climatic scenarios
title_fullStr Distribution changes of Ormosia microphylla under different climatic scenarios
title_full_unstemmed Distribution changes of Ormosia microphylla under different climatic scenarios
title_short Distribution changes of Ormosia microphylla under different climatic scenarios
title_sort distribution changes of ormosia microphylla under different climatic scenarios
topic Suitable area
Climate change
Environmental factors
MaxEnt model
Ormosia microphylla
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-86524-8
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