Multi-Condition Remaining Useful Life Prediction Based on Mixture of Encoders

Accurate Remaining Useful Life (RUL) prediction is vital for effective prognostics in and the health management of industrial equipment, particularly under varying operational conditions. Existing approaches to multi-condition RUL prediction often treat each working condition independently, failing...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Yang Liu, Bihe Xu, Yangli-ao Geng
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-01-01
Series:Entropy
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1099-4300/27/1/79
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1832588592368582656
author Yang Liu
Bihe Xu
Yangli-ao Geng
author_facet Yang Liu
Bihe Xu
Yangli-ao Geng
author_sort Yang Liu
collection DOAJ
description Accurate Remaining Useful Life (RUL) prediction is vital for effective prognostics in and the health management of industrial equipment, particularly under varying operational conditions. Existing approaches to multi-condition RUL prediction often treat each working condition independently, failing to effectively exploit cross-condition knowledge. To address this limitation, this paper introduces MoEFormer, a novel framework that combines a Mixture of Encoders (MoE) with a Transformer-based architecture to achieve precise multi-condition RUL prediction. The core innovation lies in the MoE architecture, where each encoder is designed to specialize in feature extraction for a specific operational condition. These features are then dynamically integrated through a gated mixture module, enabling the model to effectively leverage cross-condition knowledge. A Transformer layer is subsequently employed to capture temporal dependencies within the input sequence, followed by a fully connected layer to produce the final prediction. Additionally, we provide a theoretical performance guarantee for MoEFormer by deriving a lower bound for its error rate. Extensive experiments on the widely used C-MAPSS dataset demonstrate that MoEFormer outperforms several state-of-the-art methods for multi-condition RUL prediction.
format Article
id doaj-art-ef7495633c3d4a4c934938c66c3cbbea
institution Kabale University
issn 1099-4300
language English
publishDate 2025-01-01
publisher MDPI AG
record_format Article
series Entropy
spelling doaj-art-ef7495633c3d4a4c934938c66c3cbbea2025-01-24T13:31:55ZengMDPI AGEntropy1099-43002025-01-012717910.3390/e27010079Multi-Condition Remaining Useful Life Prediction Based on Mixture of EncodersYang Liu0Bihe Xu1Yangli-ao Geng2Key Laboratory of Big Data & Artificial Intelligence in Transportation (Ministry of Education), Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing 100044, ChinaKey Laboratory of Big Data & Artificial Intelligence in Transportation (Ministry of Education), Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing 100044, ChinaKey Laboratory of Big Data & Artificial Intelligence in Transportation (Ministry of Education), Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing 100044, ChinaAccurate Remaining Useful Life (RUL) prediction is vital for effective prognostics in and the health management of industrial equipment, particularly under varying operational conditions. Existing approaches to multi-condition RUL prediction often treat each working condition independently, failing to effectively exploit cross-condition knowledge. To address this limitation, this paper introduces MoEFormer, a novel framework that combines a Mixture of Encoders (MoE) with a Transformer-based architecture to achieve precise multi-condition RUL prediction. The core innovation lies in the MoE architecture, where each encoder is designed to specialize in feature extraction for a specific operational condition. These features are then dynamically integrated through a gated mixture module, enabling the model to effectively leverage cross-condition knowledge. A Transformer layer is subsequently employed to capture temporal dependencies within the input sequence, followed by a fully connected layer to produce the final prediction. Additionally, we provide a theoretical performance guarantee for MoEFormer by deriving a lower bound for its error rate. Extensive experiments on the widely used C-MAPSS dataset demonstrate that MoEFormer outperforms several state-of-the-art methods for multi-condition RUL prediction.https://www.mdpi.com/1099-4300/27/1/79RUL predictiondeep learningmixture of encoderstransformer
spellingShingle Yang Liu
Bihe Xu
Yangli-ao Geng
Multi-Condition Remaining Useful Life Prediction Based on Mixture of Encoders
Entropy
RUL prediction
deep learning
mixture of encoders
transformer
title Multi-Condition Remaining Useful Life Prediction Based on Mixture of Encoders
title_full Multi-Condition Remaining Useful Life Prediction Based on Mixture of Encoders
title_fullStr Multi-Condition Remaining Useful Life Prediction Based on Mixture of Encoders
title_full_unstemmed Multi-Condition Remaining Useful Life Prediction Based on Mixture of Encoders
title_short Multi-Condition Remaining Useful Life Prediction Based on Mixture of Encoders
title_sort multi condition remaining useful life prediction based on mixture of encoders
topic RUL prediction
deep learning
mixture of encoders
transformer
url https://www.mdpi.com/1099-4300/27/1/79
work_keys_str_mv AT yangliu multiconditionremainingusefullifepredictionbasedonmixtureofencoders
AT bihexu multiconditionremainingusefullifepredictionbasedonmixtureofencoders
AT yangliaogeng multiconditionremainingusefullifepredictionbasedonmixtureofencoders