Accuracy Enhancement for Forecasting Water Levels of Reservoirs and River Streams Using a Multiple-Input-Pattern Fuzzification Approach

Water level forecasting is an essential topic in water management affecting reservoir operations and decision making. Recently, modern methods utilizing artificial intelligence, fuzzy logic, and combinations of these techniques have been used in hydrological applications because of their considerabl...

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Main Authors: Nariman Valizadeh, Ahmed El-Shafie, Majid Mirzaei, Hadi Galavi, Muhammad Mukhlisin, Othman Jaafar
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2014-01-01
Series:The Scientific World Journal
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/432976
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author Nariman Valizadeh
Ahmed El-Shafie
Majid Mirzaei
Hadi Galavi
Muhammad Mukhlisin
Othman Jaafar
author_facet Nariman Valizadeh
Ahmed El-Shafie
Majid Mirzaei
Hadi Galavi
Muhammad Mukhlisin
Othman Jaafar
author_sort Nariman Valizadeh
collection DOAJ
description Water level forecasting is an essential topic in water management affecting reservoir operations and decision making. Recently, modern methods utilizing artificial intelligence, fuzzy logic, and combinations of these techniques have been used in hydrological applications because of their considerable ability to map an input-output pattern without requiring prior knowledge of the criteria influencing the forecasting procedure. The artificial neurofuzzy interface system (ANFIS) is one of the most accurate models used in water resource management. Because the membership functions (MFs) possess the characteristics of smoothness and mathematical components, each set of input data is able to yield the best result using a certain type of MF in the ANFIS models. The objective of this study is to define the different ANFIS model by applying different types of MFs for each type of input to forecast the water level in two case studies, the Klang Gates Dam and Rantau Panjang station on the Johor river in Malaysia, to compare the traditional ANFIS model with the new introduced one in two different situations, reservoir and stream, showing the new approach outweigh rather than the traditional one in both case studies. This objective is accomplished by evaluating the model fitness and performance in daily forecasting.
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institution Kabale University
issn 2356-6140
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language English
publishDate 2014-01-01
publisher Wiley
record_format Article
series The Scientific World Journal
spelling doaj-art-eefde64033604edebb12ce10f23ad8182025-02-03T01:02:25ZengWileyThe Scientific World Journal2356-61401537-744X2014-01-01201410.1155/2014/432976432976Accuracy Enhancement for Forecasting Water Levels of Reservoirs and River Streams Using a Multiple-Input-Pattern Fuzzification ApproachNariman Valizadeh0Ahmed El-Shafie1Majid Mirzaei2Hadi Galavi3Muhammad Mukhlisin4Othman Jaafar5Department of Civil and Structural Engineering, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia (UKM), 43000 Bangi, Selangor, MalaysiaDepartment of Civil and Structural Engineering, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia (UKM), 43000 Bangi, Selangor, MalaysiaDepartment of Civil and Structural Engineering, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia (UKM), 43000 Bangi, Selangor, MalaysiaCivil Engineering Department, Faculty of Engineering, Universiti Putra Malaysia (UPM), 43300 Serdang, Selangor, MalaysiaDepartment of Civil and Structural Engineering, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia (UKM), 43000 Bangi, Selangor, MalaysiaDepartment of Civil and Structural Engineering, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia (UKM), 43000 Bangi, Selangor, MalaysiaWater level forecasting is an essential topic in water management affecting reservoir operations and decision making. Recently, modern methods utilizing artificial intelligence, fuzzy logic, and combinations of these techniques have been used in hydrological applications because of their considerable ability to map an input-output pattern without requiring prior knowledge of the criteria influencing the forecasting procedure. The artificial neurofuzzy interface system (ANFIS) is one of the most accurate models used in water resource management. Because the membership functions (MFs) possess the characteristics of smoothness and mathematical components, each set of input data is able to yield the best result using a certain type of MF in the ANFIS models. The objective of this study is to define the different ANFIS model by applying different types of MFs for each type of input to forecast the water level in two case studies, the Klang Gates Dam and Rantau Panjang station on the Johor river in Malaysia, to compare the traditional ANFIS model with the new introduced one in two different situations, reservoir and stream, showing the new approach outweigh rather than the traditional one in both case studies. This objective is accomplished by evaluating the model fitness and performance in daily forecasting.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/432976
spellingShingle Nariman Valizadeh
Ahmed El-Shafie
Majid Mirzaei
Hadi Galavi
Muhammad Mukhlisin
Othman Jaafar
Accuracy Enhancement for Forecasting Water Levels of Reservoirs and River Streams Using a Multiple-Input-Pattern Fuzzification Approach
The Scientific World Journal
title Accuracy Enhancement for Forecasting Water Levels of Reservoirs and River Streams Using a Multiple-Input-Pattern Fuzzification Approach
title_full Accuracy Enhancement for Forecasting Water Levels of Reservoirs and River Streams Using a Multiple-Input-Pattern Fuzzification Approach
title_fullStr Accuracy Enhancement for Forecasting Water Levels of Reservoirs and River Streams Using a Multiple-Input-Pattern Fuzzification Approach
title_full_unstemmed Accuracy Enhancement for Forecasting Water Levels of Reservoirs and River Streams Using a Multiple-Input-Pattern Fuzzification Approach
title_short Accuracy Enhancement for Forecasting Water Levels of Reservoirs and River Streams Using a Multiple-Input-Pattern Fuzzification Approach
title_sort accuracy enhancement for forecasting water levels of reservoirs and river streams using a multiple input pattern fuzzification approach
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/432976
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