Fuzzy Estimation of the Character of the Securities Market

To make the right decisions regarding the purchase or sale of financial assets the definition of the nature of the securities market is required. Existing methods of evaluation of the state securities market does not fully take into account the probability distribution of the states and fuzzy-multip...

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Main Authors: G. Y. Ratushnyak, A. G. Sukhanova
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MGIMO University Press 2015-04-01
Series:Vestnik MGIMO-Universiteta
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.vestnik.mgimo.ru/jour/article/view/334
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author G. Y. Ratushnyak
A. G. Sukhanova
author_facet G. Y. Ratushnyak
A. G. Sukhanova
author_sort G. Y. Ratushnyak
collection DOAJ
description To make the right decisions regarding the purchase or sale of financial assets the definition of the nature of the securities market is required. Existing methods of evaluation of the state securities market does not fully take into account the probability distribution of the states and fuzzy-multiple description of the character of securities market. For the efficient operation of the securities market new methods of analysis and forecasting of its state are required. In this paper we propose a fuzzy-multiple algorithm to evaluate the character of the securities market. This algorithm contains the operations of fuzzy sets theory. The fuzzy of the character of the securities market manifests itself in the «blur» of the boundaries of its varieties. The expert system of a fuzzy conclusion is developed for an estimation of the character of the securities market. In this article the expert system of fuzzy inference was developed for a fuzzy assessment of the character of the securities market. As instrumental development environment a system of computer mathematics Mathcad was used. For the characteristics of the market RTS Index was used. Developed expert system allows to enter specific values of the input indicators to obtain an estimate of the character of the securities market. The use of this expert system allows system users to resolve uncertainty when making decisions, to navigate the situation on the securities market and make the right decisions regarding the purchase or sale of financial assets. Developed in the work of the expert system was applied for the case volatility market.
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spelling doaj-art-eeb19e84f88246aab8cb9ecb171304a62025-01-30T12:16:12ZengMGIMO University PressVestnik MGIMO-Universiteta2071-81602541-90992015-04-0102(41)18018510.24833/2071-8160-2015-2-41-180-185334Fuzzy Estimation of the Character of the Securities MarketG. Y. Ratushnyak0A. G. Sukhanova1Autonomous non-profit organization for higher education «The Odintsovo University for the Humanities»Federal state budgetary educational institution of higher professional education «The Moscow state industrial University»To make the right decisions regarding the purchase or sale of financial assets the definition of the nature of the securities market is required. Existing methods of evaluation of the state securities market does not fully take into account the probability distribution of the states and fuzzy-multiple description of the character of securities market. For the efficient operation of the securities market new methods of analysis and forecasting of its state are required. In this paper we propose a fuzzy-multiple algorithm to evaluate the character of the securities market. This algorithm contains the operations of fuzzy sets theory. The fuzzy of the character of the securities market manifests itself in the «blur» of the boundaries of its varieties. The expert system of a fuzzy conclusion is developed for an estimation of the character of the securities market. In this article the expert system of fuzzy inference was developed for a fuzzy assessment of the character of the securities market. As instrumental development environment a system of computer mathematics Mathcad was used. For the characteristics of the market RTS Index was used. Developed expert system allows to enter specific values of the input indicators to obtain an estimate of the character of the securities market. The use of this expert system allows system users to resolve uncertainty when making decisions, to navigate the situation on the securities market and make the right decisions regarding the purchase or sale of financial assets. Developed in the work of the expert system was applied for the case volatility market.https://www.vestnik.mgimo.ru/jour/article/view/334system of a fuzzy conclusionfuzzy set theorythe volatility of the marketthe expert system
spellingShingle G. Y. Ratushnyak
A. G. Sukhanova
Fuzzy Estimation of the Character of the Securities Market
Vestnik MGIMO-Universiteta
system of a fuzzy conclusion
fuzzy set theory
the volatility of the market
the expert system
title Fuzzy Estimation of the Character of the Securities Market
title_full Fuzzy Estimation of the Character of the Securities Market
title_fullStr Fuzzy Estimation of the Character of the Securities Market
title_full_unstemmed Fuzzy Estimation of the Character of the Securities Market
title_short Fuzzy Estimation of the Character of the Securities Market
title_sort fuzzy estimation of the character of the securities market
topic system of a fuzzy conclusion
fuzzy set theory
the volatility of the market
the expert system
url https://www.vestnik.mgimo.ru/jour/article/view/334
work_keys_str_mv AT gyratushnyak fuzzyestimationofthecharacterofthesecuritiesmarket
AT agsukhanova fuzzyestimationofthecharacterofthesecuritiesmarket