Comparing student mobility pattern models
Classically, gravity models have been used to estimate mobility flows. However, in recent years, a number of new models, such as radiation models, have been introduced to estimate human mobility. The focus has generally been on models dealing with commuting movements. There is no systematic applica...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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European Association of Geographers
2023-03-01
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| Series: | European Journal of Geography |
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| Online Access: | https://eurogeojournal.eu/index.php/egj/article/view/340 |
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| author | Marie-Louise Litmeyer Philipp Gareis Stefan Hennemann |
| author_facet | Marie-Louise Litmeyer Philipp Gareis Stefan Hennemann |
| author_sort | Marie-Louise Litmeyer |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description |
Classically, gravity models have been used to estimate mobility flows. However, in recent years, a number of new models, such as radiation models, have been introduced to estimate human mobility. The focus has generally been on models dealing with commuting movements. There is no systematic application of different versions of the laws of gravity to student mobility. The application of these models to student mobility provides the opportunity to calculate reliable forecasts of student mobility flows at the micro level, make medium- to long-term decisions at the university level, and implement sustainable strategic orientation. Therefore, this article uses different models to estimate interactions to improve the forecast of the regional distribution of students in Germany under data limitations. Using publicly available data on high school graduates and historical data on student flows between German counties, we show that radiative models with parameters are best suited to predict student flows at the level of German counties. Among parameter-free models, the population-weighted odds model yields the best results.
Highlights:
- Forecasting student mobility flows in Germany
- Model comparison between gravity and radiation models
- Implications for the development of universities
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| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-eb3eeb3ddb3d4262a9f44efae4470a19 |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 1792-1341 2410-7433 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2023-03-01 |
| publisher | European Association of Geographers |
| record_format | Article |
| series | European Journal of Geography |
| spelling | doaj-art-eb3eeb3ddb3d4262a9f44efae4470a192025-01-20T07:10:14ZengEuropean Association of GeographersEuropean Journal of Geography1792-13412410-74332023-03-01141Comparing student mobility pattern models Marie-Louise Litmeyer0Philipp Gareis1Stefan Hennemann2Justus Liebig UniversityFederal Institute for Research on Building, Urban Affairs and Spatial Development (BBSR), Germany Department of Geography, Justus Liebig University Giessen, Gießen, Germany Classically, gravity models have been used to estimate mobility flows. However, in recent years, a number of new models, such as radiation models, have been introduced to estimate human mobility. The focus has generally been on models dealing with commuting movements. There is no systematic application of different versions of the laws of gravity to student mobility. The application of these models to student mobility provides the opportunity to calculate reliable forecasts of student mobility flows at the micro level, make medium- to long-term decisions at the university level, and implement sustainable strategic orientation. Therefore, this article uses different models to estimate interactions to improve the forecast of the regional distribution of students in Germany under data limitations. Using publicly available data on high school graduates and historical data on student flows between German counties, we show that radiative models with parameters are best suited to predict student flows at the level of German counties. Among parameter-free models, the population-weighted odds model yields the best results. Highlights: - Forecasting student mobility flows in Germany - Model comparison between gravity and radiation models - Implications for the development of universities https://eurogeojournal.eu/index.php/egj/article/view/340Student MobilityGravity ModelRadial ModelGermanyStudent mobility data |
| spellingShingle | Marie-Louise Litmeyer Philipp Gareis Stefan Hennemann Comparing student mobility pattern models European Journal of Geography Student Mobility Gravity Model Radial Model Germany Student mobility data |
| title | Comparing student mobility pattern models |
| title_full | Comparing student mobility pattern models |
| title_fullStr | Comparing student mobility pattern models |
| title_full_unstemmed | Comparing student mobility pattern models |
| title_short | Comparing student mobility pattern models |
| title_sort | comparing student mobility pattern models |
| topic | Student Mobility Gravity Model Radial Model Germany Student mobility data |
| url | https://eurogeojournal.eu/index.php/egj/article/view/340 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT marielouiselitmeyer comparingstudentmobilitypatternmodels AT philippgareis comparingstudentmobilitypatternmodels AT stefanhennemann comparingstudentmobilitypatternmodels |