Developing a Ship Collision Risk Assessment Model with Internal and External Factors: Focused on South Korea Maritime Environment

Maritime collisions pose significant risks, prompting the need for robust risk assessment models to enhance safety measures. This study endeavors to develop a comprehensive ship collision risk model reflecting the intricate marine traffic environment in South Korea. Through a survey of experienced m...

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Main Authors: Sangwon Park, Jiho Yeo, Kyonghan Lee
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2024-01-01
Series:Journal of Advanced Transportation
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2024/5062203
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author Sangwon Park
Jiho Yeo
Kyonghan Lee
author_facet Sangwon Park
Jiho Yeo
Kyonghan Lee
author_sort Sangwon Park
collection DOAJ
description Maritime collisions pose significant risks, prompting the need for robust risk assessment models to enhance safety measures. This study endeavors to develop a comprehensive ship collision risk model reflecting the intricate marine traffic environment in South Korea. Through a survey of experienced maritime personnel and a random forest model analysis, an evaluation model integrating internal and external factors was devised. Internal factors were determined through conjoint analysis, emphasizing encounter relationships, separation distance, and vessel speed. External risk factors were established using a random forest model based on historical collision data. The model’s efficacy was then applied to and validated in the vicinity of Busan Port, a region with complex marine traffic. The resulting risk map highlighted high-risk areas, offering valuable insights for risk management and policy formulation. This model provides a foundational framework for maritime safety policy decisions, representing a significant contribution to collision risk assessment methodologies.
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institution Kabale University
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publisher Wiley
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series Journal of Advanced Transportation
spelling doaj-art-e9bb4a94520f41a7a2fea989aed8a47d2025-02-03T07:23:39ZengWileyJournal of Advanced Transportation2042-31952024-01-01202410.1155/2024/5062203Developing a Ship Collision Risk Assessment Model with Internal and External Factors: Focused on South Korea Maritime EnvironmentSangwon Park0Jiho Yeo1Kyonghan Lee2Department of Maritime Police ScienceDepartment of Smart CityDepartment of International TradeMaritime collisions pose significant risks, prompting the need for robust risk assessment models to enhance safety measures. This study endeavors to develop a comprehensive ship collision risk model reflecting the intricate marine traffic environment in South Korea. Through a survey of experienced maritime personnel and a random forest model analysis, an evaluation model integrating internal and external factors was devised. Internal factors were determined through conjoint analysis, emphasizing encounter relationships, separation distance, and vessel speed. External risk factors were established using a random forest model based on historical collision data. The model’s efficacy was then applied to and validated in the vicinity of Busan Port, a region with complex marine traffic. The resulting risk map highlighted high-risk areas, offering valuable insights for risk management and policy formulation. This model provides a foundational framework for maritime safety policy decisions, representing a significant contribution to collision risk assessment methodologies.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2024/5062203
spellingShingle Sangwon Park
Jiho Yeo
Kyonghan Lee
Developing a Ship Collision Risk Assessment Model with Internal and External Factors: Focused on South Korea Maritime Environment
Journal of Advanced Transportation
title Developing a Ship Collision Risk Assessment Model with Internal and External Factors: Focused on South Korea Maritime Environment
title_full Developing a Ship Collision Risk Assessment Model with Internal and External Factors: Focused on South Korea Maritime Environment
title_fullStr Developing a Ship Collision Risk Assessment Model with Internal and External Factors: Focused on South Korea Maritime Environment
title_full_unstemmed Developing a Ship Collision Risk Assessment Model with Internal and External Factors: Focused on South Korea Maritime Environment
title_short Developing a Ship Collision Risk Assessment Model with Internal and External Factors: Focused on South Korea Maritime Environment
title_sort developing a ship collision risk assessment model with internal and external factors focused on south korea maritime environment
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2024/5062203
work_keys_str_mv AT sangwonpark developingashipcollisionriskassessmentmodelwithinternalandexternalfactorsfocusedonsouthkoreamaritimeenvironment
AT jihoyeo developingashipcollisionriskassessmentmodelwithinternalandexternalfactorsfocusedonsouthkoreamaritimeenvironment
AT kyonghanlee developingashipcollisionriskassessmentmodelwithinternalandexternalfactorsfocusedonsouthkoreamaritimeenvironment