Evaluation of genomic and phenomic prediction for application in apple breeding

Abstract Background Apple breeding schemes can be improved by using genomic prediction models to forecast the performance of breeding material. The predictive ability of these models depends on factors like trait genetic architecture, training set size, relatedness of the selected material to the tr...

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Main Authors: Michaela Jung, Marius Hodel, Andrea Knauf, Daniela Kupper, Markus Neuditschko, Simone Bühlmann-Schütz, Bruno Studer, Andrea Patocchi, Giovanni AL Broggini
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2025-01-01
Series:BMC Plant Biology
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s12870-025-06104-w
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author Michaela Jung
Marius Hodel
Andrea Knauf
Daniela Kupper
Markus Neuditschko
Simone Bühlmann-Schütz
Bruno Studer
Andrea Patocchi
Giovanni AL Broggini
author_facet Michaela Jung
Marius Hodel
Andrea Knauf
Daniela Kupper
Markus Neuditschko
Simone Bühlmann-Schütz
Bruno Studer
Andrea Patocchi
Giovanni AL Broggini
author_sort Michaela Jung
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background Apple breeding schemes can be improved by using genomic prediction models to forecast the performance of breeding material. The predictive ability of these models depends on factors like trait genetic architecture, training set size, relatedness of the selected material to the training set, and the validation method used. Alternative genotyping methods such as RADseq and complementary data from near-infrared spectroscopy could help improve the cost-effectiveness of genomic prediction. However, the impact of these factors and alternative approaches on predictive ability beyond experimental populations still need to be investigated. In this study, we evaluated 137 prediction scenarios varying the described factors and alternative approaches, offering recommendations for implementing genomic selection in apple breeding. Results Our results show that extending the training set with germplasm related to the predicted breeding material can improve average predictive ability across eleven studied traits by up to 0.08. The study emphasizes the usefulness of leave-one-family-out cross-validation, reflecting the application of genomic prediction to a new family, although it reduced average predictive ability across traits by up to 0.24 compared to 10-fold cross-validation. Similar average predictive abilities across traits indicate that imputed RADseq data could be a suitable genotyping alternative to SNP array datasets. The best-performing scenario using near-infrared spectroscopy data for phenomic prediction showed a 0.35 decrease in average predictive ability across traits compared to conventional genomic prediction, suggesting that the tested phenomic prediction approach is impractical. Conclusions Extending the training set using germplasm related with the target breeding material is crucial to improve the predictive ability of genomic prediction in apple. RADseq is a viable alternative to SNP array genotyping, while phenomic prediction is impractical. These findings offer valuable guidance for applying genomic selection in apple breeding, ultimately leading to the development of breeding material with improved quality.
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spelling doaj-art-e98b1a0d6ea344bbaa4fc6bde6fabd6a2025-01-26T12:23:19ZengBMCBMC Plant Biology1471-22292025-01-0125111910.1186/s12870-025-06104-wEvaluation of genomic and phenomic prediction for application in apple breedingMichaela Jung0Marius Hodel1Andrea Knauf2Daniela Kupper3Markus Neuditschko4Simone Bühlmann-Schütz5Bruno Studer6Andrea Patocchi7Giovanni AL Broggini8AgroscopeAgroscopeAgroscopeAgroscopeAgroscopeAgroscopeMolecular Plant Breeding, Institute of Agricultural Sciences, ETH ZurichAgroscopeMolecular Plant Breeding, Institute of Agricultural Sciences, ETH ZurichAbstract Background Apple breeding schemes can be improved by using genomic prediction models to forecast the performance of breeding material. The predictive ability of these models depends on factors like trait genetic architecture, training set size, relatedness of the selected material to the training set, and the validation method used. Alternative genotyping methods such as RADseq and complementary data from near-infrared spectroscopy could help improve the cost-effectiveness of genomic prediction. However, the impact of these factors and alternative approaches on predictive ability beyond experimental populations still need to be investigated. In this study, we evaluated 137 prediction scenarios varying the described factors and alternative approaches, offering recommendations for implementing genomic selection in apple breeding. Results Our results show that extending the training set with germplasm related to the predicted breeding material can improve average predictive ability across eleven studied traits by up to 0.08. The study emphasizes the usefulness of leave-one-family-out cross-validation, reflecting the application of genomic prediction to a new family, although it reduced average predictive ability across traits by up to 0.24 compared to 10-fold cross-validation. Similar average predictive abilities across traits indicate that imputed RADseq data could be a suitable genotyping alternative to SNP array datasets. The best-performing scenario using near-infrared spectroscopy data for phenomic prediction showed a 0.35 decrease in average predictive ability across traits compared to conventional genomic prediction, suggesting that the tested phenomic prediction approach is impractical. Conclusions Extending the training set using germplasm related with the target breeding material is crucial to improve the predictive ability of genomic prediction in apple. RADseq is a viable alternative to SNP array genotyping, while phenomic prediction is impractical. These findings offer valuable guidance for applying genomic selection in apple breeding, ultimately leading to the development of breeding material with improved quality.https://doi.org/10.1186/s12870-025-06104-wGenomic selectionPhenomic selectionMalus × domesticaQuantitative traitsApple REFPOP
spellingShingle Michaela Jung
Marius Hodel
Andrea Knauf
Daniela Kupper
Markus Neuditschko
Simone Bühlmann-Schütz
Bruno Studer
Andrea Patocchi
Giovanni AL Broggini
Evaluation of genomic and phenomic prediction for application in apple breeding
BMC Plant Biology
Genomic selection
Phenomic selection
Malus × domestica
Quantitative traits
Apple REFPOP
title Evaluation of genomic and phenomic prediction for application in apple breeding
title_full Evaluation of genomic and phenomic prediction for application in apple breeding
title_fullStr Evaluation of genomic and phenomic prediction for application in apple breeding
title_full_unstemmed Evaluation of genomic and phenomic prediction for application in apple breeding
title_short Evaluation of genomic and phenomic prediction for application in apple breeding
title_sort evaluation of genomic and phenomic prediction for application in apple breeding
topic Genomic selection
Phenomic selection
Malus × domestica
Quantitative traits
Apple REFPOP
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s12870-025-06104-w
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