An adaptive load forecasting model in microgrids: A cloud-edge orchestrated approach tailored for accuracy, real-time response, and privacy needs

The load forecasting tasks in different types of microgrids offer diversified requirements on application, such as forecasting accuracy, model complexity restrictions, and hardware environment. In our paper, typical load forecasting tasks in microgrids are classified into accuracy-oriented, real-tim...

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Main Authors: Yan Zhao, Jiaqi Shi, Donglai Wang, He Jiang, Xiang Zhang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-04-01
Series:International Journal of Electrical Power & Energy Systems
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Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0142061525000419
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author Yan Zhao
Jiaqi Shi
Donglai Wang
He Jiang
Xiang Zhang
author_facet Yan Zhao
Jiaqi Shi
Donglai Wang
He Jiang
Xiang Zhang
author_sort Yan Zhao
collection DOAJ
description The load forecasting tasks in different types of microgrids offer diversified requirements on application, such as forecasting accuracy, model complexity restrictions, and hardware environment. In our paper, typical load forecasting tasks in microgrids are classified into accuracy-oriented, real-time response and privacy-preserving type. An adaptive load forecasting model is proposed considering the trade-off between accuracy and efficiency by utilizing the customized AI algorithm and real cloud-edge orchestrated architecture. The decoupled module of forecasting model is considerably analyzed from accuracy impact and computing resource occupation, which arranges in different hardware environments to meet needs of different microgrid. Finally, the adaptive forecasting model is verified by the actual dataset from the MiRIS microgrid in Belgium. The proposed model can achieve satisfactory trade-off between accuracy and computation resource consumption, which meets the requirement for different types of microgrid load forecasting tasks.
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institution Kabale University
issn 0142-0615
language English
publishDate 2025-04-01
publisher Elsevier
record_format Article
series International Journal of Electrical Power & Energy Systems
spelling doaj-art-e98542d1667c4f45838ad15251ef51b72025-02-05T04:31:00ZengElsevierInternational Journal of Electrical Power & Energy Systems0142-06152025-04-01165110490An adaptive load forecasting model in microgrids: A cloud-edge orchestrated approach tailored for accuracy, real-time response, and privacy needsYan Zhao0Jiaqi Shi1Donglai Wang2He Jiang3Xiang Zhang4Key Laboratory of Regional Multi-Energy System Integration and Control in Liaoning Province, Shenyang Institute of Engineering, Shenyang, 110136, ChinaKey Laboratory of Regional Multi-Energy System Integration and Control in Liaoning Province, Shenyang Institute of Engineering, Shenyang, 110136, China; Corresponding author.Key Laboratory of Regional Multi-Energy System Integration and Control in Liaoning Province, Shenyang Institute of Engineering, Shenyang, 110136, ChinaKey Laboratory of Regional Multi-Energy System Integration and Control in Liaoning Province, Shenyang Institute of Engineering, Shenyang, 110136, ChinaState Grid Liaoning Electric Power Research Institute, Shenyang, 110006, ChinaThe load forecasting tasks in different types of microgrids offer diversified requirements on application, such as forecasting accuracy, model complexity restrictions, and hardware environment. In our paper, typical load forecasting tasks in microgrids are classified into accuracy-oriented, real-time response and privacy-preserving type. An adaptive load forecasting model is proposed considering the trade-off between accuracy and efficiency by utilizing the customized AI algorithm and real cloud-edge orchestrated architecture. The decoupled module of forecasting model is considerably analyzed from accuracy impact and computing resource occupation, which arranges in different hardware environments to meet needs of different microgrid. Finally, the adaptive forecasting model is verified by the actual dataset from the MiRIS microgrid in Belgium. The proposed model can achieve satisfactory trade-off between accuracy and computation resource consumption, which meets the requirement for different types of microgrid load forecasting tasks.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0142061525000419Load forecastingDifferent types of microgridsCustomized AI algorithmCloud-edge orchestrated architecture
spellingShingle Yan Zhao
Jiaqi Shi
Donglai Wang
He Jiang
Xiang Zhang
An adaptive load forecasting model in microgrids: A cloud-edge orchestrated approach tailored for accuracy, real-time response, and privacy needs
International Journal of Electrical Power & Energy Systems
Load forecasting
Different types of microgrids
Customized AI algorithm
Cloud-edge orchestrated architecture
title An adaptive load forecasting model in microgrids: A cloud-edge orchestrated approach tailored for accuracy, real-time response, and privacy needs
title_full An adaptive load forecasting model in microgrids: A cloud-edge orchestrated approach tailored for accuracy, real-time response, and privacy needs
title_fullStr An adaptive load forecasting model in microgrids: A cloud-edge orchestrated approach tailored for accuracy, real-time response, and privacy needs
title_full_unstemmed An adaptive load forecasting model in microgrids: A cloud-edge orchestrated approach tailored for accuracy, real-time response, and privacy needs
title_short An adaptive load forecasting model in microgrids: A cloud-edge orchestrated approach tailored for accuracy, real-time response, and privacy needs
title_sort adaptive load forecasting model in microgrids a cloud edge orchestrated approach tailored for accuracy real time response and privacy needs
topic Load forecasting
Different types of microgrids
Customized AI algorithm
Cloud-edge orchestrated architecture
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0142061525000419
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