Slip Deficit Rate and Seismic Potential on Crustal Faults in Tibet

Abstract Quantifying slip deficit rates on active faults in Tibet is essential for understanding fault kinematics and assessing seismic hazards, but has not been fully characterized, particularly on secondary faults. In this study, we integrate an updated interseismic Global Navigation Satellite Sys...

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Main Authors: Yanchuan Li, Xinjian Shan, Chunyan Qu, Guohong Zhang, Xuening Wang, Haicheng Xiong
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2025-01-01
Series:Geophysical Research Letters
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL112122
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author Yanchuan Li
Xinjian Shan
Chunyan Qu
Guohong Zhang
Xuening Wang
Haicheng Xiong
author_facet Yanchuan Li
Xinjian Shan
Chunyan Qu
Guohong Zhang
Xuening Wang
Haicheng Xiong
author_sort Yanchuan Li
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Quantifying slip deficit rates on active faults in Tibet is essential for understanding fault kinematics and assessing seismic hazards, but has not been fully characterized, particularly on secondary faults. In this study, we integrate an updated interseismic Global Navigation Satellite Systems velocity field from 4,458 stations across continental China and its surroundings to calculate surface strain rates in Tibet, which we then use to invert for slip deficit rates on 263 crustal faults (383 segments). Our results reveal that ∼73% of strain rates are due to elastic strain accumulation on fault planes, and only a portion of the remaining strain rates may originate from unmodeled fault deformation. Quantitative calculations of seismic moment budgets on these fault segments indicate that they can produce earthquakes ranging from Mw 5.8 to 8.6, with 43 segments capable of generating earthquakes of Mw ≥ 7.5. Our findings provide a foundation for probabilistic seismic hazard analysis in Tibet.
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institution Kabale University
issn 0094-8276
1944-8007
language English
publishDate 2025-01-01
publisher Wiley
record_format Article
series Geophysical Research Letters
spelling doaj-art-e94f693e77b04f27934101d2064a4a812025-01-20T13:05:57ZengWileyGeophysical Research Letters0094-82761944-80072025-01-01521n/an/a10.1029/2024GL112122Slip Deficit Rate and Seismic Potential on Crustal Faults in TibetYanchuan Li0Xinjian Shan1Chunyan Qu2Guohong Zhang3Xuening Wang4Haicheng Xiong5State Key Laboratory of Earthquake Dynamics Institute of Geology China Earthquake Administration Beijing ChinaState Key Laboratory of Earthquake Dynamics Institute of Geology China Earthquake Administration Beijing ChinaState Key Laboratory of Earthquake Dynamics Institute of Geology China Earthquake Administration Beijing ChinaState Key Laboratory of Earthquake Dynamics Institute of Geology China Earthquake Administration Beijing ChinaState Key Laboratory of Earthquake Dynamics Institute of Geology China Earthquake Administration Beijing ChinaState Key Laboratory of Earthquake Dynamics Institute of Geology China Earthquake Administration Beijing ChinaAbstract Quantifying slip deficit rates on active faults in Tibet is essential for understanding fault kinematics and assessing seismic hazards, but has not been fully characterized, particularly on secondary faults. In this study, we integrate an updated interseismic Global Navigation Satellite Systems velocity field from 4,458 stations across continental China and its surroundings to calculate surface strain rates in Tibet, which we then use to invert for slip deficit rates on 263 crustal faults (383 segments). Our results reveal that ∼73% of strain rates are due to elastic strain accumulation on fault planes, and only a portion of the remaining strain rates may originate from unmodeled fault deformation. Quantitative calculations of seismic moment budgets on these fault segments indicate that they can produce earthquakes ranging from Mw 5.8 to 8.6, with 43 segments capable of generating earthquakes of Mw ≥ 7.5. Our findings provide a foundation for probabilistic seismic hazard analysis in Tibet.https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL112122
spellingShingle Yanchuan Li
Xinjian Shan
Chunyan Qu
Guohong Zhang
Xuening Wang
Haicheng Xiong
Slip Deficit Rate and Seismic Potential on Crustal Faults in Tibet
Geophysical Research Letters
title Slip Deficit Rate and Seismic Potential on Crustal Faults in Tibet
title_full Slip Deficit Rate and Seismic Potential on Crustal Faults in Tibet
title_fullStr Slip Deficit Rate and Seismic Potential on Crustal Faults in Tibet
title_full_unstemmed Slip Deficit Rate and Seismic Potential on Crustal Faults in Tibet
title_short Slip Deficit Rate and Seismic Potential on Crustal Faults in Tibet
title_sort slip deficit rate and seismic potential on crustal faults in tibet
url https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL112122
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AT chunyanqu slipdeficitrateandseismicpotentialoncrustalfaultsintibet
AT guohongzhang slipdeficitrateandseismicpotentialoncrustalfaultsintibet
AT xueningwang slipdeficitrateandseismicpotentialoncrustalfaultsintibet
AT haichengxiong slipdeficitrateandseismicpotentialoncrustalfaultsintibet