Impacts of Future Climate Change and Xiamen’s Territorial Spatial Planning on Carbon Storage and Sequestration
The intensification of climate change and the implementation of territorial spatial planning policies have jointly increased the complexity of future carbon storage changes. However, the impact of territorial spatial planning on carbon storage under future climate change remains unclear. Therefore,...
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MDPI AG
2025-01-01
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| Series: | Remote Sensing |
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| Online Access: | https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/17/2/273 |
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| author | Wei Zhu Ting Lan Lina Tang |
| author_facet | Wei Zhu Ting Lan Lina Tang |
| author_sort | Wei Zhu |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | The intensification of climate change and the implementation of territorial spatial planning policies have jointly increased the complexity of future carbon storage changes. However, the impact of territorial spatial planning on carbon storage under future climate change remains unclear. Therefore, this study aims to reveal the potential impacts of future climate change and territorial spatial planning on carbon storage and sequestration, providing decision support for addressing climate change and optimizing territorial spatial planning. We employed the FLUS model, the InVEST model, and the variance partitioning analysis (VPA) method to simulate carbon storage under 15 different scenarios that combine climate change scenarios and territorial spatial planning for Xiamen in 2035, and to quantify the individual and combined impacts of territorial spatial planning and climate change on ecosystem carbon sequestration. The results showed that (1) by 2035, Xiamen’s carbon storage capacity is expected to range from 32.66 × 10<sup>6</sup> Mg to 33.00 × 10<sup>6</sup> Mg under various scenarios, reflecting a decrease from 2020 levels; (2) the implementation of territorial spatial planning is conducive to preserving Xiamen’s carbon storage, with the urban development boundary proving to be the most effective; (3) carbon storage is greatly affected by climate change, with RCP 4.5 more effective than RCP 8.5 in maintaining higher levels of carbon storage; and (4) the influence of territorial spatial planning on carbon sequestration consistently exceeds that of climate change, particularly under high-emission scenarios, where the regulatory effect of planning is especially significant. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-e8899f373c7b461783d4497233e89966 |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 2072-4292 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2025-01-01 |
| publisher | MDPI AG |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Remote Sensing |
| spelling | doaj-art-e8899f373c7b461783d4497233e899662025-01-24T13:47:57ZengMDPI AGRemote Sensing2072-42922025-01-0117227310.3390/rs17020273Impacts of Future Climate Change and Xiamen’s Territorial Spatial Planning on Carbon Storage and SequestrationWei Zhu0Ting Lan1Lina Tang2Key Laboratory of Urban Environment and Health, Institute of Urban Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Xiamen 361021, ChinaKey Laboratory of Urban Environment and Health, Institute of Urban Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Xiamen 361021, ChinaKey Laboratory of Urban Environment and Health, Institute of Urban Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Xiamen 361021, ChinaThe intensification of climate change and the implementation of territorial spatial planning policies have jointly increased the complexity of future carbon storage changes. However, the impact of territorial spatial planning on carbon storage under future climate change remains unclear. Therefore, this study aims to reveal the potential impacts of future climate change and territorial spatial planning on carbon storage and sequestration, providing decision support for addressing climate change and optimizing territorial spatial planning. We employed the FLUS model, the InVEST model, and the variance partitioning analysis (VPA) method to simulate carbon storage under 15 different scenarios that combine climate change scenarios and territorial spatial planning for Xiamen in 2035, and to quantify the individual and combined impacts of territorial spatial planning and climate change on ecosystem carbon sequestration. The results showed that (1) by 2035, Xiamen’s carbon storage capacity is expected to range from 32.66 × 10<sup>6</sup> Mg to 33.00 × 10<sup>6</sup> Mg under various scenarios, reflecting a decrease from 2020 levels; (2) the implementation of territorial spatial planning is conducive to preserving Xiamen’s carbon storage, with the urban development boundary proving to be the most effective; (3) carbon storage is greatly affected by climate change, with RCP 4.5 more effective than RCP 8.5 in maintaining higher levels of carbon storage; and (4) the influence of territorial spatial planning on carbon sequestration consistently exceeds that of climate change, particularly under high-emission scenarios, where the regulatory effect of planning is especially significant.https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/17/2/273carbon storage and sequestrationterritorial spatial planningclimate changeFLUS modelInVEST model |
| spellingShingle | Wei Zhu Ting Lan Lina Tang Impacts of Future Climate Change and Xiamen’s Territorial Spatial Planning on Carbon Storage and Sequestration Remote Sensing carbon storage and sequestration territorial spatial planning climate change FLUS model InVEST model |
| title | Impacts of Future Climate Change and Xiamen’s Territorial Spatial Planning on Carbon Storage and Sequestration |
| title_full | Impacts of Future Climate Change and Xiamen’s Territorial Spatial Planning on Carbon Storage and Sequestration |
| title_fullStr | Impacts of Future Climate Change and Xiamen’s Territorial Spatial Planning on Carbon Storage and Sequestration |
| title_full_unstemmed | Impacts of Future Climate Change and Xiamen’s Territorial Spatial Planning on Carbon Storage and Sequestration |
| title_short | Impacts of Future Climate Change and Xiamen’s Territorial Spatial Planning on Carbon Storage and Sequestration |
| title_sort | impacts of future climate change and xiamen s territorial spatial planning on carbon storage and sequestration |
| topic | carbon storage and sequestration territorial spatial planning climate change FLUS model InVEST model |
| url | https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/17/2/273 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT weizhu impactsoffutureclimatechangeandxiamensterritorialspatialplanningoncarbonstorageandsequestration AT tinglan impactsoffutureclimatechangeandxiamensterritorialspatialplanningoncarbonstorageandsequestration AT linatang impactsoffutureclimatechangeandxiamensterritorialspatialplanningoncarbonstorageandsequestration |