The Role of Optimal Intervention Strategies on Controlling Excessive Alcohol Drinking and Its Adverse Health Effects

We propose and analyze a mathematical model for alcohol drinking problem. The transmission process is modeled as a social “contact” process between “heavy” alcohol drinkers and “light” alcohol drinkers within an unchanging shared drinking environment. The basic reproductive number of the model is co...

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Main Author: Steady Mushayabasa
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2015-01-01
Series:Journal of Applied Mathematics
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2015/238784
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author Steady Mushayabasa
author_facet Steady Mushayabasa
author_sort Steady Mushayabasa
collection DOAJ
description We propose and analyze a mathematical model for alcohol drinking problem. The transmission process is modeled as a social “contact” process between “heavy” alcohol drinkers and “light” alcohol drinkers within an unchanging shared drinking environment. The basic reproductive number of the model is computed and the stability of the model steady states is investigated. Further, the model is fitted to data on alcohol drinking for Cape Town and Gauteng, South Africa. In addition, the basic model is extended to incorporate three time dependent intervention strategies. The control functions represent the efforts and policies aimed at weakening the intensity of social interactions between light and heavy drinkers and increase the fraction of treated individuals who permanently quit alcohol drinking. Optimal control results suggest that effective control of high-risk alcohol drinking can be achieved if more resources and efforts are devoted on weakening the intensity of social interactions between light and heavy drinkers.
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series Journal of Applied Mathematics
spelling doaj-art-e83a7dfd8f714f0eb268e75d07b108522025-02-03T06:13:18ZengWileyJournal of Applied Mathematics1110-757X1687-00422015-01-01201510.1155/2015/238784238784The Role of Optimal Intervention Strategies on Controlling Excessive Alcohol Drinking and Its Adverse Health EffectsSteady Mushayabasa0Department of Mathematics, University of Zimbabwe, P.O. Box MP 167, Harare, ZimbabweWe propose and analyze a mathematical model for alcohol drinking problem. The transmission process is modeled as a social “contact” process between “heavy” alcohol drinkers and “light” alcohol drinkers within an unchanging shared drinking environment. The basic reproductive number of the model is computed and the stability of the model steady states is investigated. Further, the model is fitted to data on alcohol drinking for Cape Town and Gauteng, South Africa. In addition, the basic model is extended to incorporate three time dependent intervention strategies. The control functions represent the efforts and policies aimed at weakening the intensity of social interactions between light and heavy drinkers and increase the fraction of treated individuals who permanently quit alcohol drinking. Optimal control results suggest that effective control of high-risk alcohol drinking can be achieved if more resources and efforts are devoted on weakening the intensity of social interactions between light and heavy drinkers.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2015/238784
spellingShingle Steady Mushayabasa
The Role of Optimal Intervention Strategies on Controlling Excessive Alcohol Drinking and Its Adverse Health Effects
Journal of Applied Mathematics
title The Role of Optimal Intervention Strategies on Controlling Excessive Alcohol Drinking and Its Adverse Health Effects
title_full The Role of Optimal Intervention Strategies on Controlling Excessive Alcohol Drinking and Its Adverse Health Effects
title_fullStr The Role of Optimal Intervention Strategies on Controlling Excessive Alcohol Drinking and Its Adverse Health Effects
title_full_unstemmed The Role of Optimal Intervention Strategies on Controlling Excessive Alcohol Drinking and Its Adverse Health Effects
title_short The Role of Optimal Intervention Strategies on Controlling Excessive Alcohol Drinking and Its Adverse Health Effects
title_sort role of optimal intervention strategies on controlling excessive alcohol drinking and its adverse health effects
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2015/238784
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