Saturated treatments and measles resurgence episodes in South Africa: A possible linkage
We consider the case of measles in South Africa to show that an high vaccination coverage may be not enough - alone - to ensure measles eradication. The occurrence of certain epidemic episodes may in fact be encouraged by delays in the treatments or by not adequately fast clinical case management, w...
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Language: | English |
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AIMS Press
2013-05-01
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Series: | Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering |
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Online Access: | https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2013.10.1135 |
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author | Deborah Lacitignola |
author_facet | Deborah Lacitignola |
author_sort | Deborah Lacitignola |
collection | DOAJ |
description | We consider the case of measles in South Africa to show that an high vaccination coverage may be not enough - alone - to ensure measles eradication. The occurrence of certain epidemic episodes may in fact be encouraged by delays in the treatments or by not adequately fast clinical case management, which may be related to the backward bifurcation phenomenon as well as to an intriguing spiking dynamics which appears in the system for specific ranges of parameter values. |
format | Article |
id | doaj-art-e7b0b412b1ba4756b2c105878a40a90e |
institution | Kabale University |
issn | 1551-0018 |
language | English |
publishDate | 2013-05-01 |
publisher | AIMS Press |
record_format | Article |
series | Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering |
spelling | doaj-art-e7b0b412b1ba4756b2c105878a40a90e2025-01-24T02:26:20ZengAIMS PressMathematical Biosciences and Engineering1551-00182013-05-011041135115710.3934/mbe.2013.10.1135Saturated treatments and measles resurgence episodes in South Africa: A possible linkageDeborah Lacitignola0Department of Electrical and Information Engineering, University of Cassino and Southern Lazio, Via di Biasio 43, I-03043 CassinoWe consider the case of measles in South Africa to show that an high vaccination coverage may be not enough - alone - to ensure measles eradication. The occurrence of certain epidemic episodes may in fact be encouraged by delays in the treatments or by not adequately fast clinical case management, which may be related to the backward bifurcation phenomenon as well as to an intriguing spiking dynamics which appears in the system for specific ranges of parameter values.https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2013.10.1135epidemic modelssaturated treatmentsmeasles.backward bifurcationspiking dynamics |
spellingShingle | Deborah Lacitignola Saturated treatments and measles resurgence episodes in South Africa: A possible linkage Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering epidemic models saturated treatments measles. backward bifurcation spiking dynamics |
title | Saturated treatments and measles resurgence episodes in South Africa: A possible linkage |
title_full | Saturated treatments and measles resurgence episodes in South Africa: A possible linkage |
title_fullStr | Saturated treatments and measles resurgence episodes in South Africa: A possible linkage |
title_full_unstemmed | Saturated treatments and measles resurgence episodes in South Africa: A possible linkage |
title_short | Saturated treatments and measles resurgence episodes in South Africa: A possible linkage |
title_sort | saturated treatments and measles resurgence episodes in south africa a possible linkage |
topic | epidemic models saturated treatments measles. backward bifurcation spiking dynamics |
url | https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2013.10.1135 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT deborahlacitignola saturatedtreatmentsandmeaslesresurgenceepisodesinsouthafricaapossiblelinkage |