Characterization of Meteorological Drought Using Monte Carlo Feature Selection and Steady-State Probabilities

Drought is a creeping phenomenon that slowly holds an area over time and can be continued for many years. The impacts of drought occurrences can affect communities and environments worldwide in several ways. Thus, assessment and monitoring of drought occurrences in a region are crucial for reducing...

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Main Authors: Rizwan Niaz, Fahad Tanveer, Mohammed M. A. Almazah, Ijaz Hussain, Soliman Alkhatib, A.Y. Al-Razami
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2022-01-01
Series:Complexity
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/1172805
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author Rizwan Niaz
Fahad Tanveer
Mohammed M. A. Almazah
Ijaz Hussain
Soliman Alkhatib
A.Y. Al-Razami
author_facet Rizwan Niaz
Fahad Tanveer
Mohammed M. A. Almazah
Ijaz Hussain
Soliman Alkhatib
A.Y. Al-Razami
author_sort Rizwan Niaz
collection DOAJ
description Drought is a creeping phenomenon that slowly holds an area over time and can be continued for many years. The impacts of drought occurrences can affect communities and environments worldwide in several ways. Thus, assessment and monitoring of drought occurrences in a region are crucial for reducing its vulnerability to the negative impacts of drought. Therefore, comprehensive drought assessment techniques and methods are required to develop adaptive strategies that a region can undertake to reduce its vulnerability to drought substantially. For this purpose, this study proposes a new method known as a regional comprehensive assessment of meteorological drought (RCAMD). The Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI), and Standardized Precipitation and Temperature Index (SPTI) are jointly used for the development of the RCAMD. Further, the RCAMD employs Monte Carlo feature selection (MCFS) and steady-state probabilities (SSPs) to comprehensively collect information from various stations and drought indices. Moreover, the RCAMD is validated on the six selected stations in the northern areas of Pakistan. The outcomes associated with the RCAMD provide a comprehensive regional assessment of meteorological drought and become the initial source for bringing more considerations to drought monitoring and early warning systems.
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institution Kabale University
issn 1099-0526
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spelling doaj-art-e740d0325ede43d8b890775f8dde1ead2025-02-03T01:06:37ZengWileyComplexity1099-05262022-01-01202210.1155/2022/1172805Characterization of Meteorological Drought Using Monte Carlo Feature Selection and Steady-State ProbabilitiesRizwan Niaz0Fahad Tanveer1Mohammed M. A. Almazah2Ijaz Hussain3Soliman Alkhatib4A.Y. Al-Razami5Department of StatisticsDepartment of StatisticsDepartment of MathematicsDepartment of StatisticsEngineering Mathematics and Physics DepartmentMathematics DepartmentDrought is a creeping phenomenon that slowly holds an area over time and can be continued for many years. The impacts of drought occurrences can affect communities and environments worldwide in several ways. Thus, assessment and monitoring of drought occurrences in a region are crucial for reducing its vulnerability to the negative impacts of drought. Therefore, comprehensive drought assessment techniques and methods are required to develop adaptive strategies that a region can undertake to reduce its vulnerability to drought substantially. For this purpose, this study proposes a new method known as a regional comprehensive assessment of meteorological drought (RCAMD). The Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI), and Standardized Precipitation and Temperature Index (SPTI) are jointly used for the development of the RCAMD. Further, the RCAMD employs Monte Carlo feature selection (MCFS) and steady-state probabilities (SSPs) to comprehensively collect information from various stations and drought indices. Moreover, the RCAMD is validated on the six selected stations in the northern areas of Pakistan. The outcomes associated with the RCAMD provide a comprehensive regional assessment of meteorological drought and become the initial source for bringing more considerations to drought monitoring and early warning systems.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/1172805
spellingShingle Rizwan Niaz
Fahad Tanveer
Mohammed M. A. Almazah
Ijaz Hussain
Soliman Alkhatib
A.Y. Al-Razami
Characterization of Meteorological Drought Using Monte Carlo Feature Selection and Steady-State Probabilities
Complexity
title Characterization of Meteorological Drought Using Monte Carlo Feature Selection and Steady-State Probabilities
title_full Characterization of Meteorological Drought Using Monte Carlo Feature Selection and Steady-State Probabilities
title_fullStr Characterization of Meteorological Drought Using Monte Carlo Feature Selection and Steady-State Probabilities
title_full_unstemmed Characterization of Meteorological Drought Using Monte Carlo Feature Selection and Steady-State Probabilities
title_short Characterization of Meteorological Drought Using Monte Carlo Feature Selection and Steady-State Probabilities
title_sort characterization of meteorological drought using monte carlo feature selection and steady state probabilities
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/1172805
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AT ijazhussain characterizationofmeteorologicaldroughtusingmontecarlofeatureselectionandsteadystateprobabilities
AT solimanalkhatib characterizationofmeteorologicaldroughtusingmontecarlofeatureselectionandsteadystateprobabilities
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