Nomogram for predicting postoperative ileus after radical cystectomy and urinary diversion: a retrospective single-center study

Objective To predict the incidence of postoperative ileus in bladder cancer patients after radical cystectomy.Methods We retrospectively analyzed the perioperative data of 452 bladder cancer patients who underwent radical cystectomy with urinary diversion at the Second Hospital of Tianjin Medical Un...

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Main Authors: Xiaoyu Sun, Chang Liu, Changwen Zhang, Zhihong Zhang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2024-12-01
Series:Annals of Medicine
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Online Access:https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/07853890.2024.2329125
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author Xiaoyu Sun
Chang Liu
Changwen Zhang
Zhihong Zhang
author_facet Xiaoyu Sun
Chang Liu
Changwen Zhang
Zhihong Zhang
author_sort Xiaoyu Sun
collection DOAJ
description Objective To predict the incidence of postoperative ileus in bladder cancer patients after radical cystectomy.Methods We retrospectively analyzed the perioperative data of 452 bladder cancer patients who underwent radical cystectomy with urinary diversion at the Second Hospital of Tianjin Medical University between 2016 and 2021. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression were used to identify the risk factors for postoperative ileus. Finally, a nomogram model was established and verified based on the independent risk factors.Results Our study revealed that 96 patients (21.2%) developed postoperative ileus. Using multivariate logistic regression analysis, we found that the independent risk factors for postoperative ileus after radical cystectomy included age > 65.0 years, high or low body mass index, constipation, hypoalbuminemia, and operative time. We established a nomogram prediction model based on these independent risk factors. Validation by calibration curves, concordance index, and decision curve analysis showed a strong correlation between predicted and actual probabilities of occurrence.Conclusion Our nomogram prediction model provides surgeons with a simple tool to predict the incidence of postoperative ileus in bladder cancer patients undergoing radical cystectomy.
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spelling doaj-art-e74072bff3f74a01bc55bc47940968102025-02-03T09:57:36ZengTaylor & Francis GroupAnnals of Medicine0785-38901365-20602024-12-0156110.1080/07853890.2024.2329125Nomogram for predicting postoperative ileus after radical cystectomy and urinary diversion: a retrospective single-center studyXiaoyu Sun0Chang Liu1Changwen Zhang2Zhihong Zhang3Department of Urology, Tianjin Institute of Urology, The Second Hospital of Tianjin Medical University, Tianjin, ChinaDepartment of Urology, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan Economic and Technological Development Zone (Hannan), Wuhan, ChinaDepartment of Urology, Tianjin Institute of Urology, The Second Hospital of Tianjin Medical University, Tianjin, ChinaDepartment of Urology, Tianjin Institute of Urology, The Second Hospital of Tianjin Medical University, Tianjin, ChinaObjective To predict the incidence of postoperative ileus in bladder cancer patients after radical cystectomy.Methods We retrospectively analyzed the perioperative data of 452 bladder cancer patients who underwent radical cystectomy with urinary diversion at the Second Hospital of Tianjin Medical University between 2016 and 2021. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression were used to identify the risk factors for postoperative ileus. Finally, a nomogram model was established and verified based on the independent risk factors.Results Our study revealed that 96 patients (21.2%) developed postoperative ileus. Using multivariate logistic regression analysis, we found that the independent risk factors for postoperative ileus after radical cystectomy included age > 65.0 years, high or low body mass index, constipation, hypoalbuminemia, and operative time. We established a nomogram prediction model based on these independent risk factors. Validation by calibration curves, concordance index, and decision curve analysis showed a strong correlation between predicted and actual probabilities of occurrence.Conclusion Our nomogram prediction model provides surgeons with a simple tool to predict the incidence of postoperative ileus in bladder cancer patients undergoing radical cystectomy.https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/07853890.2024.2329125Postoperative ileusbladder cancerradical cystectomyprediction modelnomogram
spellingShingle Xiaoyu Sun
Chang Liu
Changwen Zhang
Zhihong Zhang
Nomogram for predicting postoperative ileus after radical cystectomy and urinary diversion: a retrospective single-center study
Annals of Medicine
Postoperative ileus
bladder cancer
radical cystectomy
prediction model
nomogram
title Nomogram for predicting postoperative ileus after radical cystectomy and urinary diversion: a retrospective single-center study
title_full Nomogram for predicting postoperative ileus after radical cystectomy and urinary diversion: a retrospective single-center study
title_fullStr Nomogram for predicting postoperative ileus after radical cystectomy and urinary diversion: a retrospective single-center study
title_full_unstemmed Nomogram for predicting postoperative ileus after radical cystectomy and urinary diversion: a retrospective single-center study
title_short Nomogram for predicting postoperative ileus after radical cystectomy and urinary diversion: a retrospective single-center study
title_sort nomogram for predicting postoperative ileus after radical cystectomy and urinary diversion a retrospective single center study
topic Postoperative ileus
bladder cancer
radical cystectomy
prediction model
nomogram
url https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/07853890.2024.2329125
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AT changwenzhang nomogramforpredictingpostoperativeileusafterradicalcystectomyandurinarydiversionaretrospectivesinglecenterstudy
AT zhihongzhang nomogramforpredictingpostoperativeileusafterradicalcystectomyandurinarydiversionaretrospectivesinglecenterstudy