Understanding the oscillations of an epidemic due to vaccine hesitancy

Vaccine hesitancy threatens to reverse the progress in tackling vaccine-preventable diseases. We used an $ SIS $ model with a game theory model for vaccination and parameters from the COVID-19 pandemic to study how vaccine hesitancy impacts epidemic dynamics. The system showed three asymptotic behav...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Anthony Morciglio, R. K. P. Zia, James M. Hyman, Yi Jiang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: AIMS Press 2024-08-01
Series:Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2024299
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
Description
Summary:Vaccine hesitancy threatens to reverse the progress in tackling vaccine-preventable diseases. We used an $ SIS $ model with a game theory model for vaccination and parameters from the COVID-19 pandemic to study how vaccine hesitancy impacts epidemic dynamics. The system showed three asymptotic behaviors: total rejection of vaccinations, complete acceptance, and oscillations. With increasing fear of infection, stable endemic states become periodic oscillations. Our results suggest that managing fear of infection relative to vaccination is vital to successful mass vaccinations.
ISSN:1551-0018